Match Info

Championship - Round 26

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: MKM Stadium (Hull)

Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)


	Hull City		Watford

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.5
	2.28	3.47	3.07	Watch
	2.36	3.47	3.11
	2.26	3.47	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.25	2.9
	2.27	3.32	3.07	Watch
	2.28	3.33	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.66)	3.4 ↓ (3.42)	3.01 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull City
40.7%

Draw
27.8%

Watford
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

27.6%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

27.9%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hull City's performance.

Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Watford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hull City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Watford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	12.3%	8.8%

Hull City - Watford Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 42 - 79.2%). Watford will win (votes: 4 - 7.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 13.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hull: 68.3% – 90.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Hull (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Hull (1.64) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hull City will win (21 of 28 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 31 Selected Experts predict this event. Hull (votes: 23 - 74.2%). Watford (votes: 4 - 12.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 12.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pandur I. (G) 18. Drameh C. 15. Egan J. 4. Hughes C. 2. Coyle L. (C) 27. Slater R. 20. Hadziahmetovic A. 19. Ndala J. 25. Crooks M. 7. Millar L. 9. McBurnie O.	1. Selvik E. (G) 25. Abankwah J. 3. Alleyne M. 6. Pollock M. 16. Bola M. 7. Ince T. 5. Kyprianou H. 10. Louza I. 42. Maamma O. 17. Sissoko M. (C) 9. Kjerrumgaard L.
Substitutes
11. Akintola B. 39. Destan E. 23. Famewo A. 24. Gyabi D. 5. Jacob M. 22. Joseph K. 58. McCarthy C. 45. Palmer K. 12. Phillips D. (G)	34. Baah K. 12. Baxter N. (G) 66. Irankunda N. 4. Keben K. 23. Mendy N. 22. Morris J. 53. Nabizada A. 29. Petris J. 18. Semedo V.
Coaches
Jakirovic S.	Gracia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Mfuni S. 🟨,
45+1', Ngakia J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Hadziahmetovic A. ↓, Lundstram J. ↑,
61', Dowell K. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
66', Mfuni S. ↓, Keben K. ↑,
66', Ngakia J. ↓, Petris J. ↑,
72', Doumbia M. 🟨,
73', Coyle L. 🟨,
75', Jacob M. ↓, Millar L. ↑,
75', Gelhardt J. ↓, Giles R. ↑,
75', Doumbia M. ↓, Kjerrumgaard L. ↑,
75', Chakvetadze G. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
79', Giles R. 🟨,
82', Lundstram J. 🟨,
82', Hirakawa Y. ↓, Joseph K. ↑,
87', McBurnie O. 🟨,
90+4', Maamma O. ↓, Ince T. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hull won 0.

Hull is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Watford is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Hull: Ajayi S. (International duty) Belloumi M. (Inactive) Lundstram J. (Knee Injury) Matazo E. (Knee Injury) Williams B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Watford: Doumbia M. (International duty) Grieves J. (Ankle Injury) Kayembe E. (International duty) Vata R. (Hamstring Injury) Wiley C. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Hull: Giles R. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Hull won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hull won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Watford: 0.79%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Watford	8	2	2	4	7:10	-3	8

Last Results with these Odds

Hull City - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 35.5%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull City
English League Championship
31.01.26	Blackburn Rovers - Hull City	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Hull City - Swansea City	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Preston North End - Hull City	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	Southampton - Hull City	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.26	Hull City - Blackburn Rovers	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 WWWWW
- Watford FC
English League Championship
31.01.26	Watford - Swansea City	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Blackburn Rovers - Watford	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	Watford - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Watford - Millwall	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Bristol City - Watford	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
27.09.25	Watford - Hull City	2:1
08.04.25	Watford - Hull City	1:0
11.12.24	Hull City - Watford	1:1
20.04.24	Watford - Hull City	0:0
02.12.23	Hull City - Watford	1:2
22.04.23	Hull City - Watford	1:0
11.12.22	Watford - Hull City	0:0

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