Match Info

Date: 26 January 2021, Tuesday


	Accrington Stanley		Hull City

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.75	1.9
	3.7	3.6	1.91
	3.95	3.5	1.95
	3.75	3.5	1.9
	4.05	3.79	1.93
	3.9	3.4	1.88
	4.15	3.74	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.64)	3.61 ↑ (3.52)	1.92 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Accrington Stanley
24.3%

Draw
26.2%

Hull City
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

26.9%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

20.8%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hull City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	10%	73.3%

Accrington Stanley - Hull City Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). Hull will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hull: 57.5% – 89.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Championship).

Accrington has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Hull has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (26%), has a good chance of promoted (79%), has a chance of win league (49%).

Accrington is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hull is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Accrington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hull will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Accrington won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Accrington won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Accrington Stanley
English League One
19.01.21	Hull City - Accrington Stanley	3:0 ✺
16.01.21	Accrington Stanley - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.01.21	Lincoln City - Accrington Stanley	4:0 ✺
English League One
08.01.21	Charlton Athletic - Accrington Stanley	0:2 ✺
19.12.20	Accrington Stanley - Blackpool	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLLWT
- Hull City
English League One
23.01.21	Portsmouth - Hull City	0:4 ✺
19.01.21	Hull City - Accrington Stanley	3:0 ✺
16.01.21	Hull City - Blackpool	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.01.21	Hull City - Fleetwood Town	3:2 ✺
English League One
09.01.21	Sunderland - Hull City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
19.01.21	Hull City - Accrington Stanley	3:0
English League Cup
11.08.15	Accrington Stanley - Hull City	2:3 penalties

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