Match Info

Championship - Round 28

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Vicarage Road (Watford)

Referee: Toner B. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	DAZN, Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Watford		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.75	5	Watch
	1.73	3.69	4.91	Watch
	1.72	3.74	4.92	Watch
	1.73	3.4	4.75
	1.72	3.6	4.8	Watch
	1.71	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.64)	3.66 ↓ (3.83)	4.9 ↓ (5.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Watford
55%

Draw
25.8%

Portsmouth
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

24.6%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

24.1%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.8%	5.4%	10.8%

Watford - Portsmouth Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Watford will win (31 of 37 users predict this - 83.78%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.9% – 95.66%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Watford will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Selvik E. (G) 2. Ngakia J. 6. Pollock M. 25. Abankwah J. 16. Bola M. 5. Kyprianou H. 10. Louza I. (C) 42. Maamma O. 8. Chakvetadze G. 7. Ince T. 9. Kjerrumgaard L.	1. Schmid N. (G) 24. Devlin T. 5. Poole R. 3. Ogilvie C. 22. Swanson Z. 21. Dozzell A. 38. Adams E. 10. Segecic A. 36. Chaplin C. 27. Alli M. 9. Bishop C. (C)
Substitutes
34. Baah K. 12. Baxter N. (G) 20. Doumbia M. 66. Irankunda N. 39. Kayembe E. 4. Keben K. 22. Morris J. 18. Semedo V. 11. Vata R.	99. Agu C. 17. Bowat I. 26. Bursik J. (G) 19. Farrell J. 25. Kirk M. 16. Le Roux L. 46. Singerr O. 8. Swift J. 2. Williams J.
Coaches
Gracia J.	Mousinho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Swanson Z. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
46', Chakvetadze G. ↓, Doumbia M. ↑,
46', Pollock M. ↓, Keben K. ↑,
51', Dozzell A. 🟨,
64', Maamma O. ↓, Vata R. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Segecic A. ⚽, Chaplin C. (A),
79', 1 - 1, Doumbia M. ⚽, Kjerrumgaard L. (A),
81', Ince T. ↓, Irankunda N. ↑,
81', Abankwah J. ↓, Kayembe E. ↑,
83', Devlin T. ↓, Farrell J. ↑,
90+3', Adams E. ↓, Bowat I. ↑,
90+3', Segecic A. ↓, Le Roux L. ↑,
90+6', Alli M. ↓, Swift J. ↑,
90+10', Irankunda N. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 8 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Watford is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Watford: Grieves J. (Injury)

There will not play in Portsmouth: Bianchini F. (Knee Injury) Knight J. (Back Injury) Lang C. (Inactive) Matthews H. (Ankle Injury) Murphy J. (Injury) Umeh F. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Watford: Kayembe E. (Rest) Vata R. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Portsmouth: Blair H. (Injury) Kosznovszky M. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Watford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Watford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Portsmouth: 0.33% Watford: 0.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8
20	Watford	9	2	2	5	7:14	-7	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Watford FC
English League Championship
17.01.26	Watford - Millwall	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Bristol City - Watford	5:1 ✺
English League Championship
01.01.26	Watford - Birmingham City	3:0 ✺
29.12.25	Norwich City - Watford	0:1 ✺
26.12.25	Leicester City - Watford	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLWWW
- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
17.01.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Portsmouth	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.26	Portsmouth - Arsenal	1:4 ✺
English League Championship
01.01.26	Bristol City - Portsmouth	5:0 ✺
29.12.25	Portsmouth - Charlton Athletic	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Portsmouth - Queens Park Rangers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
01.10.25	Portsmouth - Watford	2:2
21.04.25	Portsmouth - Watford	1:0
26.12.24	Watford - Portsmouth	2:1

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