Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 18

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Huracán Paso de la Arena		Plaza Colonia

	1	X	2
	3.30	3.10	2.00
	3.4	2.95	2.05
	3.52	3.16	2.11
	3.53	3.18	2.12	Watch
	3.45	3.05	2.08
	3.55	3.24	2.09
	3.35	3	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (3)	3.1 ↑ (3)	2.07 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huracán Paso de la Arena
26.5%

Draw
29.5%

Plaza Colonia
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huracán Paso de la Arena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Plaza Colonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Paso de la Arena than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Huracán Paso de la Arena - Plaza Colonia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 1 - 1, ⚽,
64', 1 - 2, ⚽,
74', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Plaza Colonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Plaza Colonia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Huracán won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Plaza Colonia	21	9	5	7	26:21	5	32
11	Huracan FC	21	7	5	9	22:28	-6	26

Last Results with these Odds

Plaza Colonia - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.21%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huracán Paso de la Arena
Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.09.26	La Luz - Huracán Paso de la Arena	1:3 ✺
29.08.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Cerrito	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Huracán Paso de la Arena	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Paysandú	3:2 ✺
09.08.26	River Plate Montevideo - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWTWL
- Plaza Colonia
Uruguayan Segunda Division
07.09.26	Plaza Colonia - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Oriental de La Paz - Plaza Colonia	2:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
26.08.26	Plaza Colonia - Cerro Largo	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
21.08.26	Plaza Colonia - Colón Montevideo	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.06.26	Plaza Colonia - Huracán Paso de la Arena	0:0

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