Match Info

Serie B - Round 22

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra (Ibarra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol


	Leones del Norte		Imbabura

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	3.75	5.75
	1.47	3.8	5.9	Watch
	1.62	3.36	6.38
	1.00	16.59	25.00	Watch
	1.45	3.95	6.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.55)	6.29 ↑ (3.6)	9.88 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones del Norte
73.3%

Draw
16.3%

Imbabura
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

25.5%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

24.6%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leones del Norte's performance.

Imbabura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leones del Norte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imbabura than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Leones del Norte - Imbabura Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Leones del Norte will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Leones del Norte (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Porozo D. ⚽,
26', 🟥,
30', 2 - 0, Godoy W. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 11 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).

Leones del Norte is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )

Imbabura is Serie B (Relegation Group )

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Leones del Norte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Leones del Norte is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leones del Norte won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Serie B
10.08.25	San Antonio - Leones del Norte	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	22 de Julio - Leones del Norte	1:0 ✺
23.07.25	Leones del Norte - Guayaquil City	2:1 ✺
15.07.25	Chacaritas - Leones del Norte	2:1 ✺
09.07.25	Leones del Norte - Independiente Juniors	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLW
- Imbabura SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
10.08.25	Imbabura - 22 de Julio	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
06.08.25	Imbabura - Independiente del Valle	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
30.07.25	Independiente Juniors - Imbabura	2:1 ✺
23.07.25	Imbabura - Atlético Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
16.07.25	Guayaquil City - Imbabura	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
20.03.25	Imbabura - Leones del Norte	0:2

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