Match Info

Copa Ecuador - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra (Ibarra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Peru	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1611
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Imbabura		Independiente del Valle

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.2	1.46
	4.95	3.85	1.58
	5.04	3.71	1.58
	5.36	3.53	1.65	Watch
	5.08	3.78	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.14 ↓ (5.38)	3.81 ↓ (4.09)	1.58 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imbabura
17.8%

Draw
24%

Independiente del Valle
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.5%

21.7%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

21%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imbabura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imbabura than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente del Valle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Imbabura - Independiente del Valle Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Imbabura will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ind del Valle will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Vasquez Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+9', 🟥,

Preview

Imbabura is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ind del Valle is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Ind del Valle is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Imbabura won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Imbabura won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Imbabura SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
30.07.25	Independiente Juniors - Imbabura	2:1 ✺
23.07.25	Imbabura - Atlético Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
16.07.25	Guayaquil City - Imbabura	3:0 ✺
08.07.25	Imbabura - San Antonio	1:1 ✺
03.07.25	Vargas Torres - Imbabura	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLTL
- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.08.25	Independiente del Valle - El Nacional	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle	0:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
22.07.25	Vasco da Gama - Independiente del Valle	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.07.25	Independiente del Valle - SD Aucas	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.07.25	Independiente del Valle - Vasco da Gama	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.10.24	Independiente del Valle - Imbabura	3:1
28.04.24	Imbabura - Independiente del Valle	0:1
Ecuadorian Copa
27.07.22	Imbabura - Independiente del Valle	1:3

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