Match Info

Serie B - Round 8

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra (Ibarra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Imbabura		Guayaquil City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.55	2.65
	2.31	3.74	2.7
	2.24	3.76	2.83	Watch
	2.5	2.88	2.8
	2.23	3.3	3.04	Watch
	2.25	3.55	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.7)	3.46 ↑ (2.75)	2.78 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imbabura
40.2%

Draw
26.6%

Guayaquil City
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

33.4%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imbabura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Imbabura's performance.

Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imbabura than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Imbabura that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	44.4%	33.3%

Imbabura - Guayaquil City Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Imbabura will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Guayaquil City will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guayaquil City (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Imbabura (3.52) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH 0 - Guayaquil City (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Guayaquil City (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Imbabura (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Guayaquil City (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).

Recent form of Imbabura has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Guayaquil City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Guayaquil City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Imbabura won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Imbabura won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Imbabura SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
29.04.25	San Antonio - Imbabura	2:1 ✺
22.04.25	Imbabura - Vargas Torres	0:0 ✺
15.04.25	Cumbayá - Imbabura	2:2 ✺
08.04.25	Imbabura - Gualaceo	1:1 ✺
03.04.25	9 de Octubre - Imbabura	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTTTL
- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
03.05.25	Guayaquil City - 22 de Julio	2:2 ✺
24.04.25	Chacaritas - Guayaquil City	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Guayaquil City - Atlético Vinotinto	3:2 ✺
10.04.25	Guayaquil City - 9 de Octubre	0:1 ✺
02.04.25	Independiente Juniors - Guayaquil City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Copa
02.07.22	Imbabura - Guayaquil City	2:1 penalties

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