Match Info

K League 1 - Round 1

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Sungui Arena Park (Incheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play, JTBC Golf&Sports


	Incheon United		FC Seoul

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.45	3.05	2.1
	4	3.2	2.19
	3.73	3.17	2.08	Watch
	3.6	2.9	2.1
	3.81	2.96	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (3.52)	3.06 ↓ (3.38)	2.12 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Incheon United
25.4%

Draw
30.5%

FC Seoul
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

27.4%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Incheon United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

FC Seoul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Incheon United - FC Seoul Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Seoul will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim Dong-Heon (G) 39. Kim Myung-soon 4. Kim Gun-Hee 2. Ibiza 32. Lee Ju-Yong 11. Gerso 8. Undabarrena I. 15. Seo Jae-Min 7. Oh H. 9. Mugosa S. 77. Park Seung-Ho	25. Gu Sung-Yun (G) 16. Choi Jun 40. Park Seong-hun 37. Ros J. 22. Kim Jin-Su (C) 18. Cho Young-Wook 42. Son J. 6. Babec H. 34. Song Min-Kyu 9. Klimala P. 10. Anderson Oliveira
Substitutes
13. Choi Seung-gu 23. Jeong Chi-In 72. Lee Chung-Yong 10. Lee Dong-Ryul 5. Lee Myoung-Joo 21. Lee Tae-Hui (G) 19. Park Ho-Min 20. Park Kyung-sub 27. Yeo Seung-Won	99. Gbato S. 41. Hwang Do-Yun 7. Jeong Seung-Won 31. Kang Hyeon-Mu (G) 20. Lee Han-Do 8. Lee Seung-Mo 27. Moon Seon-Min 66. Park Soo-Il 11. Ruiz L.
Coaches
Yoon Jong-Hwan	Kim Gi-Dong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Klimala P. 🟨,
17', Babec H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Son J. ↓, Lee Seung-Mo ↑,
46', Klimala P. ↓, Ruiz L. ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Song Min-Kyu ⚽,
51', Cho Young-Wook 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Cho Young-Wook ⚽, Anderson Oliveira (A),
63', Undabarrena I. ↓, Lee Myoung-Joo ↑,
63', Park Seung-Ho ↓, Lee Chung-Yong ↑,
73', Oh H. ↓, Jeong Chi-In ↑,
73', Song Min-Kyu ↓, Jeong Seung-Won ↑,
78', Babec H. 🟨,
82', Cho Young-Wook ↓, Hwang Do-Yun ↑,
85', Gerso ↓, Park Ho-Min ↑,
85', Kim Myung-soon ↓, Yeo Seung-Won ↑,
90+2', 1 - 2, Mugosa S. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', Park Seong-hun 🟨,
90+6', Anderson Oliveira ↓, Lee Han-Do ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Incheon won 1.

Incheon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Seoul will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Incheon won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Incheon won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.9:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Seoul ✔	31	20	5	6	58:26	32	65
7	Incheon	31	11	9	11	39:33	6	42

Last Results with these Odds

FC Seoul - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.36%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Incheon United
Club Friendly
31.01.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Incheon United	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
23.11.25	Incheon United - Cheongju	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Incheon United	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Incheon United - Busan I Park	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Incheon United - Gyeongnam	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLTW
- FC Seoul
AFC Champions League
17.02.26	FC Seoul - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:2 ✺
10.02.26	Vissel Kobe - FC Seoul	2:0 ✺
10.12.25	FC Seoul - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
30.11.25	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - FC Seoul	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.11.25	Shanghai Port - FC Seoul	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
27.07.24	Incheon United - FC Seoul	0:1
11.05.24	Incheon United - FC Seoul	1:2
10.03.24	FC Seoul - Incheon United	0:0
22.07.23	FC Seoul - Incheon United	0:1
07.06.23	Incheon United - FC Seoul	1:1
25.02.23	FC Seoul - Incheon United	2:1
27.08.22	Incheon United - FC Seoul	2:0

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