The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Incheon United 34.4%
Draw 31.4%
Pohang Steelers 34.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
30.2%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
29.7%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Incheon United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Incheon United's form might have worsened.
Pohang Steelers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pohang Steelers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Incheon United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pohang Steelers than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pohang Steelers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
62.5%
12.5%
Incheon United - Pohang Steelers Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Incheon will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Pohang will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - Pohang (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pohang (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kim Dong-Heon (G) 39. Kim Myung-soon 4. Kim Gun-Hee 2. Ibiza 32. Lee Ju-Yong 17. Kim Seong-Min 5. Lee Myoung-Joo (C) 26. Lee Min-Hyuk 70. Leandro Ribeiro 72. Lee Chung-Yong 9. Mugosa S.
21. Hwang In-Jae (G) 17. Shin Kwang-Hoon 4. Jeon Min-kwang (C) 20. Park Chan-Yong 2. Eo Jeong-Won 16. Kim Dong-Jin 40. Ki Sung-Yueng 77. Wanderson 11. da Rocha Junior J. 25. Jorge Teixeira 31. Nishiya K.
Substitutes
13. Choi Seung-gu 99. Ferrier M. 11. Gerso 10. Lee Dong-Ryul 3. Lee Sang-Gi 21. Lee Tae-Hui (G) 20. Park Kyung-sub 77. Park Seung-Ho 15. Seo Jae-Min
9. An J. 29. Hong Sung-min (G) 5. Jin Si-woo 37. Jung Han-Min 13. Kang Min-Jun 8. Kim Seung-Ho 3. Kim Ye-Sung 14. Lee Chang-Woo 10. Tranziska J.
Coaches
Yoon Jong-Hwan
Park Tae-Ha
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Lee Min-Hyuk ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Lee Chung-Yong ⚽, Lee Min-Hyuk (A),
42', Jorge Teixeira 🟨,
45+2', 3 - 0, Mugosa S. ⚽, Ibiza (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Shin Kwang-Hoon ↓, Tranziska J. ↑,
63', Kim Seong-Min ↓, Lee Dong-Ryul ↑,
65', Park Chan-Yong 🟨,
65', Ki Sung-Yueng ↓, Jung Han-Min ↑,
65', Nishiya K. ↓, Kim Seung-Ho ↑,
71', Mugosa S. ↓, Ferrier M. ↑,
71', Leandro Ribeiro ↓, Gerso ↑,
77', Jorge Teixeira ↓, An J. ↑,
81', Lee Myoung-Joo ↓, Seo Jae-Min ↑,
81', Lee Chung-Yong ↓, Park Seung-Ho ↑,
83', Eo Jeong-Won ↓, Kang Min-Jun ↑,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 8th in the K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 7th in the K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Incheon won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Incheon may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Incheon is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Incheon has recorded 2 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:28 (averaging 0.8:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Incheon against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with 4:14 goals (averaging 0.4:1.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Incheon
31
11
9
11
39:33
6
42
8
Pohang
31
11
7
13
28:37
-9
40
Last Results with these Odds
Incheon United - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.2%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Pohang Steelers - the odds 3.64 are the expected chance of winning is 25.62%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.