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Current Win Probability
Independiente Rivadavia 50.6%
Draw 30.4%
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 18.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55%
28%
17%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.4%
27.3%
16.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Rivadavia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Independiente Rivadavia - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente R (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Independiente Rivadavia will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Bolcato N. (G) 36. Bonifacio E. 2. Costa L. 42. Studer S. 14. Gomez L. 5. Bottari T. 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 10. Fernandez M. 43. Sartori F. 22. Villa S. (C) 9. Arce A.
23. Rigamonti C. (G) 36. Cortez I. 2. Mondino D. (C) 4. Munoz E. 24. Saavedra F. 21. Antonini F. 26. Lencioni F. 17. Sabatini I. 30. Fernandez E. 27. Armoa B. 29. Modica A.
Substitutes
19. Atencio R. 8. Bucca L. 27. Crego D. 3. Elordi J. M. 21. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 34. Moreyra S. 13. Osella A. 7. Ramis V. 20. Riep A. 11. Rios G. 32. Vazquez K. A. 40. Villalba I.
18. Alvarez J. 5. Barboza N. 42. Carrera L. 7. Cingolani L. 9. Ferreyra B. 32. Paredes L. 41. Patritti G. 31. Petruchi L. (G) 3. Recalde M. 10. Romano N. 15. Sanchez U. 35. Simoni V.
Coaches
Berti A.
Franco D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Armoa B. ⚽, Sabatini I. (A),
11', Modica A. 🟨,
11', Studer S. 🟨,
18', 1 - 1, Studer S. ⚽, Costa L. (A),
24', Antonini F. 🟨,
26', Fernandez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, Sartori F. ⚽, Villa S. (A),
55', Fernandez E. ↓, Ferreyra B. ↑,
55', Antonini F. ↓, Barboza N. ↑,
58', Armoa B. 🟨,
61', Saavedra F. 🟥,
61', Fernandez M. 🟨,
64', Cortez I. ↓, Paredes L. ↑,
64', Armoa B. ↓, Recalde M. ↑,
70', 3 - 1, Arce A. ⚽,
72', Bonifacio E. ↓, Elordi J. M. ↑,
72', Fernandez M. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
77', Arce A. ↓, Rios G. ↑,
79', 4 - 1, Costa L. ⚽, Atencio R. (A),
82', Bottari T. ↓, Bucca L. ↑,
82', Sartori F. ↓, Ramis V. ↑,
83', 5 - 1, Bucca L. ⚽, Gomez L. (A),
84', Modica A. ↓, Sanchez U. ↑,
87', Barboza N. 🟨,
89', Sanchez U. 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
Independiente R is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2.
Independiente R is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Gimnasia Mendoza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Gimnasia Mendoza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Independiente R is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Independiente R: Macagno R.
(Injury)
There will not play in Gimnasia Mendoza: Gonzales
(Injury)
Linares N.
(Muscle Injury)
Paredes L.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Gimnasia Mendoza: Andrada B.
(Injury)
Antonini F.
(Injury)
We predict that Independiente R will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
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Bolcato N. (G) 
Costa L. 
Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 
Villa S. (C) 
Modica A. 
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