Match Info

Date: 25 May 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Banco Guayaquil (Quito)

Referee: Gonzalez L. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Independiente del Valle		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	7	Watch
	1.44	4.33	7
	1.45	4.4	7
	1.42	4.3	7
	1.46	4.64	7.19
	1.4	3.9	7.5	Watch
	1.44	4.4	7.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.58)	4.33 ↑ (3.8)	7.14 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS En Espa√±ol (Canada)

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Current Win Probability

Independiente del Valle
65.2%

Draw
21.6%

América Mineiro
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

24.2%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

23.8%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente del Valle's performance.

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente del Valle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.2%	21.7%	13%

Independiente del Valle - América Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). América MG will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind del Valle: 45.7% – 84.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

América MG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Independiente del Valle have a series of guest games.

In this match Independiente del Valle is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Independiente del Valle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.05.22	Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.05.22	Atlético Mineiro - Independiente del Valle	3:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.05.22	Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle	2:3 ✺
09.05.22	Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.05.22	Deportes Tolima - Independiente del Valle	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWL
- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
21.05.22	América Mineiro - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.05.22	Deportes Tolima - América Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
15.05.22	Coritiba - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
10.05.22	América Mineiro - CS Alagoano	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.05.22	Atlético Mineiro - América Mineiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
06.04.22	América Mineiro - Independiente del Valle	0:2

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