Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 15 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Allianz Parque (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV


	Palmeiras		Independiente del Valle

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	8	Watch
	1.37	4.6	8.25
	1.33	5	9	Watch
	1.36	5	9.39
	1.35	5	9.39
	1.29	4.8	8.5
	1.35	5.05	8.9	Watch
	1.35	4.8	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.4)	4.91 ↑ (4.1)	8.63 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
69.9%

Draw
19.2%

Independiente del Valle
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

22.5%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

21.6%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Palmeiras - Independiente del Valle Predictions

Users Predictions: Palmeiras will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Weverton (G) 2. Marcos Rocha 15. Gustavo Gomez (C) 26. Murilo 22. Piquerez J. 8. Ze Rafael 27. Rios R. 41. Estevao 42. Flaco Lopez 17. Lazaro 9. Endrick	22. Villar G. (G) 14. Carabajal M. 4. Landazuri A. 5. Schunke R. (C) 50. Arroyo K. 8. Alcivar J. 80. Ortiz J. 15. Caicedo B. 16. Paez K. 30. Ibarra R. 11. Hoyos M.
Substitutes
16. Caio Paulista 35. Fabinho 25. Gabriel Menino 32. Garcia 13. Luan 31. Luis Guilherme 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 12. Mayke 23. Raphael Veiga 20. Romulo 10. Rony 6. Vanderlan	17. Bolanos A. 19. Diaz L. 13. Fernandez M. 31. Ibarra R. 53. Lerma Soliz J. A. 9. Lopez R. 51. Medina Y. 7. Mercado P. 6. Pombo J. 1. Ramirez M. (G) 18. Zabala C. 2. Zarate L.
Coaches
Ferreira A.	Gandolfi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
30', Caicedo B. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Rios R. ⚽,
44', Landazuri A. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 0, Gustavo Gomez (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ibarra R. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
46', Arroyo K. ↓, Lerma Soliz J. A. ↑,
61', Endrick ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Diaz L. ⚽, Schunke R. (A),
70', Estevao ↓, Mayke ↑,
70', Flaco Lopez ↓, Rony ↑,
77', Hoyos M. ↓, Bolanos A. ↑,
77', Caicedo B. ↓, Medina Y. ↑,
82', Rios R. ↓, Romulo ↑,
82', Lazaro ↓, Luan ↑,

Preview

Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Palmeiras is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Independiente del Valle is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Palmeiras could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Palmeiras is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Palmeiras won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
12.05.24	Palmeiras - Athletico Paranaense	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.05.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Palmeiras	0:5 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.05.24	Cuiabá - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
02.05.24	Palmeiras - Botafogo SP	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.04.24	São Paulo - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWT
- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.05.24	El Nacional - Independiente del Valle	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.05.24	San Lorenzo - Independiente del Valle	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.05.24	Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Imbabura - Independiente del Valle	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.04.24	Independiente del Valle - Palmeiras	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
24.04.24	Independiente del Valle - Palmeiras	2:3
11.05.21	Independiente del Valle - Palmeiras	0:1
27.04.21	Palmeiras - Independiente del Valle	5:0

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