Match Info

Date: 21 April 2021, Wednesday


	Independiente del Valle		Defensa y Justicia

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	7.5	Watch
	1.48	4.2	6.25
	1.5	4.1	6.1	Watch
	1.46	4.2	6.2
	1.47	4.63	6.43
	1.44	4.2	7.5	Watch
	1.46	4.1	7.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.67)	4.23 ↑ (3.44)	6.81 ↑ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente del Valle
64.1%

Draw
22.2%

Defensa y Justicia
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

27.1%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

22.4%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente del Valle's performance.

Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Independiente del Valle - Defensa y Justicia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Independiente del Valle in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Defensa y Justicia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Independiente del Valle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Independiente del Valle is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.04.21	Independiente del Valle - 9 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.04.21	Grêmio - Independiente del Valle	1:2 ✺
09.04.21	Independiente del Valle - Grêmio	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.04.21	Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle	2:2 ✺
31.03.21	Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWTW
- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
18.04.21	Independiente - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
Recopa Sudamericana
14.04.21	Palmeiras - Defensa y Justicia	1:3 penalties ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
10.04.21	Defensa y Justicia - Talleres de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
Recopa Sudamericana
07.04.21	Defensa y Justicia - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
03.04.21	Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWTLL

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