Match Info

Date: 18 May 2021, Tuesday


	Palmeiras		Defensa y Justicia

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.8	3.6	Watch
	1.9	3.7	3.7
	1.97	3.5	3.55	Watch
	1.93	3.45	3.65
	1.97	3.64	3.64
	1.95	3.4	3.75
	1.97	3.58	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.75)	3.58 ↓ (3.62)	3.65 ↓ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
48.2%

Draw
26.1%

Defensa y Justicia
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

25.8%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

20.5%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Palmeiras's form might have worsened.

Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+19%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palmeiras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Defensa y Justicia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Palmeiras - Defensa y Justicia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Palmeiras in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Defensa y Justicia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Palmeiras could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Palmeiras have a series of guest games.

Palmeiras will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Palmeiras won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
16.05.21	Corinthians - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
14.05.21	Red Bull Bragantino - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.05.21	Independiente del Valle - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
09.05.21	Ponte Preta - Palmeiras	0:3 ✺
06.05.21	Palmeiras - Santos	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWW
- Defensa y Justicia
Copa Libertadores
12.05.21	Universitario de Deportes - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
08.05.21	Atlético Tucumán - Defensa y Justicia	5:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.05.21	Defensa y Justicia - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.05.21	Defensa y Justicia - Unión Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.04.21	Defensa y Justicia - Universitario de Deportes	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
04.05.21	Defensa y Justicia - Palmeiras	1:2
Recopa Sudamericana
14.04.21	Palmeiras - Defensa y Justicia	1:3 penalties
07.04.21	Defensa y Justicia - Palmeiras	1:2

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