Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 26

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra (Ibarra)

Referee: Canchingre J. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Leones del Norte		Independiente del Valle

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.66	Watch
	4.60	3.50	1.62
	4.8	3.5	1.65	Watch
	4.7	3.75	1.79
	4.87	3.62	1.72	Watch
	4.4	3.7	1.76
	5.03	3.62	1.68	Watch
	4.6	3.5	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↑ (4.2)	3.6 ↑ (3.35)	1.7 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones del Norte
19.6%

Draw
25.7%

Independiente del Valle
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

27.3%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

26.3%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Leones del Norte - Independiente del Valle Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Leones del Norte (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leones del Norte (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Nazareno L. (G) 4. Arroyo R. 2. Moran J. 23. Monserrat N. 25. Kreiman B. 34. Portocarrero S. 6. Griffa E. 5. Coppo T. 29. Madero P. 40. Anangono J. (C) 99. Solano C.	1. Quintana A. (G) 4. Espinoza J. 33. Velasco A. 23. Viacava J. 15. Cortez G. 32. Mendez J. (C) 50. Angulo J. 8. Ochoa Y. 16. Briones R. 11. Perello M. 99. Reasco D.
Substitutes
17. Amilivia T. 55. Borja R. 13. Cabeza J. 50. Caicedo M. 1. Congo J. (G) 16. De La Cruz M. 14. Folleco A. 7. Luque M. 31. Padilla G. 70. Pazmino D. 19. Pepinos E. 3. Vargas F.	6. Alcivar J. 14. Carabajal M. 9. Gonzalez C. 19. Loor L. 31. Pata E. 70. Peralta M. (G) 28. Quintana H. 57. Quintero H. 17. Rodriguez A. 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 5. Schunke R. 52. Vasquez Y.
Coaches
Cordoba M.	Papa J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Anangono J. ⚽, Madero P. (A),
24', Madero P. 🟨,
27', Kreiman B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Griffa E. ↓, Luque M. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Reasco D. ⚽,
51', Reasco D. 🟨,
55', Briones R. 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Solano C. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Ochoa Y. ↓, Quintana H. ↑,
66', Reasco D. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
66', Angulo J. ↓, Pata E. ↑,
66', Perello M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
84', Briones R. ↓, Vasquez Y. ↑,
86', Solano C. ↓, Pepinos E. ↑,
86', Portocarrero S. ↓, De La Cruz M. ↑,
87', Anangono J. ↓, Amilivia T. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Gonzalez C. ⚽, Pata E. (A),
90+4', Monserrat N. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 3, Gonzalez C. ⚽,
90+8', Alcivar J. 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).

Ind del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )

In recent matches, Leones del Norte has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ind del Valle is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Leones del Norte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Leones del Norte has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ind del Valle is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leones del Norte won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	30	24	2	4	73:33	40	74

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente del Valle - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 51.01%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.08.26	Manta - Leones del Norte	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	SD Aucas - Leones del Norte	3:0 ✺
02.08.26	Leones del Norte - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
30.07.26	LDU Quito - Leones del Norte	6:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.07.26	Delfín - Leones del Norte	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLTLW
- Independiente del Valle
Copa Libertadores
18.08.26	Deportes Tolima - Independiente del Valle	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
14.08.26	Independiente del Valle - Delfín	3:2 ✺
07.08.26	LDU Quito - Independiente del Valle	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
29.07.26	Independiente del Valle - Manta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.04.26	Independiente del Valle - Leones del Norte	2:1

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