Match Info

USL Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Michael A. Carroll Stadium (Indianapolis, IN)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Indy Eleven		Greenville Triumph

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.7	3.7
	1.82	3.64	3.82
	1.85	3.72	3.68	Watch
	1.77	3.47	4.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.84)	3.63 ↑ (3.51)	3.91 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indy Eleven
50.9%

Draw
25.4%

Greenville Triumph
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

25.9%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

27.3%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Greenville Triumph has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Indy Eleven - Greenville Triumph Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Sulte H. (G) 30. Ofeimu B. 3. Hogan P. 41. Musa J. 27. Rendon B. 6. Lindley C. 8. Blake J. 5. Murphy J. 14. Quinn A. (C) 99. Foster M. 9. Williams R.	1. Rankenburg G. (G) 4. Sims T. 42. Bubb Z. (C) 5. Fricke B. 3. Polak T. 18. Evans C. 8. Herrera C. 29. Robles R. 11. Corvino P. 19. Marsh C. 20. Mensah R.
Substitutes
22. Amoh E. 21. Bryneus O. 23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 18. Collier E. 19. Kizza E. 2. O'Brien J. 32. Soumaoro B.	23. Agyaakwah I. 6. Anguiano C. 77. Benton D. 12. Lee E. 2. Patti A. 21. Soto E. 30. Torman S. (G) 7. Zakowski B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Blake J. 🟨,
21', Evans C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Blake J. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Williams R. ⚽,
66', Marsh C. ↓, Soto E. ↑,
68', Foster M. 🟨,
71', Williams R. ↓, Amoh E. ↑,
71', Murphy J. ↓, Bryneus O. ↑,
76', Ofeimu B. 🟨,
79', Corvino P. ↓, Agyaakwah I. ↑,
79', Robles R. ↓, Zakowski B. ↑,
85', Lindley C. ↓, O'Brien J. ↑,
85', Rendon B. ↓, Soumaoro B. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Quinn A. (Own goal),
90+2', Polak T. ↓, Patti A. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 6)
1, Evans C. (Pen),
1, Foster M. (Pen),
2, Fricke B. (Pen),
2, Amoh E. (Pen),
3, Herrera C. (Pen),
3, Hogan P. (Pen),
4, Zakowski B. (Pen),
4, Ofeimu B. (Pen),
5, Patti A. (Pen),
5, Quinn A. (Pen),
6, Soto E. (Pen),
6, Bryneus O. (Pen),

Preview

Indy is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Greenville is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Indy might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
16.08.25	Loudoun United - Indy Eleven	3:2 ✺
09.08.25	Detroit City - Indy Eleven	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Indy Eleven - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:3 ✺
USL Cup
26.07.25	Indy Eleven - Tulsa	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
18.07.25	North Carolina - Indy Eleven	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL
- Greenville Triumph
USL League One
16.08.25	AV Alta - Greenville Triumph	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph	4:5 ✺
02.08.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Greenville Triumph	2:2 ✺
USL Cup
26.07.25	Greenville Triumph - Naples	2:1 ✺
USL League One
20.07.25	Greenville Triumph - Richmond Kickers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWTWW

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