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Current Win Probability
Indy Eleven 41.2%
Draw 26.6%
New Mexico United 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
26.9%
35.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.3%
26.7%
35.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Indy Eleven - New Mexico United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Sulte H. (G) 30. Ofeimu B. 5. Chapman-Page C. 15. Arturo Diz 37. Neidlinger L. 16. Wootton L. 14. Quinn A. (C) 3. Stanley A. 10. Williams R. 13. Guenzatti S. 9. Williams A.
1. Tambakis A. (G) 3. Gloster C. 22. Ryden K. 12. Maples T. 26. Mohamed A. 33. Swartz H. 7. Rivas S. 19. Bailey Z. 91. Houssou N. 25. Bruce D. 11. Akale M.
Substitutes
8. Blake J. 18. Collier E. 22. Gibson T. 7. Henderlong K. 20. Mines B. 41. Musa J. 2. O'Brien J. 1. Oettl Y. (G)
27. Flanagan A. 8. Hernandez D. 17. Hurst G. 10. Micaletto M. 20. Reyes J. 16. Seymore W. 13. Shakes K. (G)
Coaches
McAuley S.
Quill E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Quinn A. 🟨,
27', Houssou N. 🟨,
27', Rivas S. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Neidlinger L. ⚽, Wootton L. (A),
45+2', Ryden K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
53', 1 - 1, Swartz H. ⚽,
60', Guenzatti S. ↓, Collier E. ↑,
60', Williams A. ↓, Blake J. ↑,
61', Arturo Diz 🟨,
64', 1 - 2, Rivas S. ⚽, Bruce D. (A),
71', Akale M. ↓, Flanagan A. ↑,
71', Bruce D. ↓, Hurst G. ↑,
71', Swartz H. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
75', 1 - 3, Hurst G. ⚽, Reyes J. (A),
78', Chapman-Page C. 🟨,
80', Quinn A. ↓, Gibson T. ↑,
80', Chapman-Page C. ↓, O'Brien J. ↑,
80', Williams R. ↓, Henderlong K. ↑,
84', Rivas S. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
90+5', Hurst G. 🟨,
Preview
Recent matches Indy is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
New Mexico is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
New Mexico could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Indy won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Indy won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.