Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 38

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Audi Sportpark (Ingolstadt)

Referee: Hanslbauer P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Ingolstadt		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.8	1.8
	3.7	3.9	1.83
	3.3	4.35	1.8
	3.49	4.59	1.88
	3.5	3.7	1.8
	3.64	4.05	1.81	Watch
	3.5	3.75	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.44)	4.02 ↑ (4.02)	1.82 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt
26.2%

Draw
23%

Elversberg
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

23.4%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

22.3%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	10%	80%

Ingolstadt - Elversberg Predictions

Users Predictions: Elversberg will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Funk M. (G) 22. Costly M. 42. Nduka D. 16. Musliu V. 3. Franke D. 11. Bech T. 8. Civeja T. 23. Linsmayer D. 20. Hawkins J. 27. Doumbouya M. 9. Schmidt P. (C)	20. Kristof N. (G) 19. Pinckert L. 23. Sickinger C. 35. Antonitsch N. 33. Neubauer M. 11. Durholtz L. 31. Jacobsen T. 18. Sahin S. 7. Feil M. 27. Woltemade N. 8. Rochelt J.
Substitutes
29. Kopacz D. 48. Krupa J. 38. Neuberger M. 40. Ponath M. (G) 6. Preissinger R. 14. Sarpei H. N. 21. Schrock T. 7. Sulejmani V. 47. Udogu D.	16. Bobzien B. 13. Correia M. 21. Dacaj E. 1. Lehmann F. (G) 3. Menke L. 17. Missner T. 9. Mustafa V. 10. Tekerci S. 5. Von-Piechowski L.
Coaches
Kollner M.	Steffen H.

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ingolstadt could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Elversberg is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
20.05.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt	0:3 ✺
12.05.23	Ingolstadt - Duisburg	2:0 ✺
06.05.23	Hallescher - Ingolstadt	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	Ingolstadt - Verl	3:1 ✺
22.04.23	Viktoria Köln - Ingolstadt	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWL
- SV Elversberg
German 3 Bundesliga
20.05.23	Elversberg - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:1 ✺
13.05.23	Freiburg II - Elversberg	2:1 ✺
06.05.23	Elversberg - Bayreuth	5:2 ✺
29.04.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Elversberg	2:0 ✺
25.04.23	Duisburg - Elversberg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
21.01.23	Elversberg - Ingolstadt	4:3

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