Match Info

Date: 16 October 2021, Saturday


	Ingolstadt		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.5	2.3	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.2	Watch
	2.95	3.4	2.32
	2.95	3.35	2.3
	3.09	3.47	2.4
	3	3.3	2.25
	2.98	3.48	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.04)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)	2.3 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt
31.4%

Draw
27.6%

Holstein Kiel
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

27.7%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

20.2%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ingolstadt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Holstein Kiel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.6%	25.8%	51.6%

Ingolstadt - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Ingolstadt will win (votes: 7 - 22.6%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 16 - 51.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 25.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holstein Kiel: 34% – 69.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 15).

Ingolstadt is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Holstein Kiel is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ingolstadt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Holstein Kiel will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ingolstadt won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ingolstadt 04
Club Friendly
08.10.21	Nürnberg - Ingolstadt	0:7 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
03.10.21	Schalke 04 - Ingolstadt	3:0 ✺
25.09.21	Ingolstadt - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
19.09.21	St. Pauli - Ingolstadt	4:1 ✺
11.09.21	Ingolstadt - Werder Bremen	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLLL
- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
02.10.21	Holstein Kiel - Hansa Rostock	0:2 ✺
25.09.21	Paderborn - Holstein Kiel	1:2 ✺
18.09.21	Holstein Kiel - Hannover	0:3 ✺
11.09.21	Karlsruher - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
28.08.21	Holstein Kiel - Erzgebirge Aue	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.01.20	Ingolstadt - Holstein Kiel	2:0
German 2 Bundesliga
14.04.19	Ingolstadt - Holstein Kiel	1:1
03.11.18	Holstein Kiel - Ingolstadt	2:2
29.04.18	Ingolstadt - Holstein Kiel	1:5
25.11.17	Holstein Kiel - Ingolstadt	0:0

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