Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 20 February 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 3
Czech Republic	21:00	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	21:00	Canale 5, Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Malaysia	04:00	Astro
Portugal	20:00	Eleven Sports
Romania	22:00	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Inter Milan		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	5.5
	1.62	3.8	5.5
	1.65	3.95	5.8	Watch
	1.65	3.8	5.8
	1.65	3.86	6.02
	1.6	3.8	5.5
	1.69	4.03	5.75
	1.65	3.9	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.88)	3.87 ↑ (3.58)	5.68 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBS, Galavision

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Current Win Probability

Inter Milan
58.4%

Draw
24.8%

Atlético Madrid
16.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26.6%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

26.2%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inter Milan's performance.

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Inter Milan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.6%	13.3%	10.2%

Inter Milan - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 128 users predict this event. Inter will win (votes: 98 - 76.6%). Atlético will win (votes: 13 - 10.2%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 69.3% – 83.9%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommer Y. (G) 28. Pavard B. 6. de Vrij S. 95. Bastoni A. 36. Darmian M. 23. Barella N. 20. Calhanoglu H. 22. Mkhitaryan H. 32. Dimarco F. 9. Thuram M. 10. Martinez La. (C)	13. Oblak J. (G) 16. Molina N. 20. Witsel A. 2. Gimenez J. M. 22. Hermoso M. 12. Lino S. 5. de Paul R. 6. Koke (C) 8. Niguez S. 14. Llorente M. 7. Griezmann A.
Substitutes
8. Arnautovic M. 21. Asllani K. 77. Audero E. (G) 31. Bisseck Y. 17. Buchanan T. 30. Carlos Augusto 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 2. Dumfries D. 16. Frattesi D. 14. Klaassen D. 70. Sanchez A. 50. Stankovic A.	24. Barrios P. 10. Correa A. 9. Depay M. 4. Gabriel Paulista 31. Gomis A. (G) 1. Moldovan H. (G) 19. Morata A. 23. Reinildo 17. Riquelme R. 15. Savic S. 18. Vermeeren A.
Coaches
Inzaghi S.	Simeone D.

Preview

1st leg.

Inter in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Atlético is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Inter is a favorite.

There will not play in Inter: Acerbi F. (Calf Injury) Cuadrado J. (Inactive) Sensi S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Atlético: Azpilicueta C. (Knee Injury) Lemar T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Vitolo (Knee Injury)

Our prediction for today's Inter to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Inter won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
16.02.24	Inter Milan - Salernitana	4:0 ✺
10.02.24	Roma - Inter Milan	2:4 ✺
04.02.24	Inter Milan - Juventus	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Fiorentina - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
Italian Super Cup
22.01.24	Napoli - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW
- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
17.02.24	Atlético Madrid - Las Palmas	5:0 ✺
11.02.24	Sevilla - Atlético Madrid	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.02.24	Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
04.02.24	Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
31.01.24	Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

International Champions Cup
11.08.18	Atlético Madrid - Inter Milan	0:1

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