Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Sport 24


	Inter Milan		Liverpool

	1	X	2
	2	3.7	3.5
	2.12	3.75	3.4
	2.08	3.75	3.61
	2.01	3.83	3.66	Watch
	2	3.6	3.5
	2.05	3.79	3.58
	2	3.6	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.28)	3.72 ↓ (3.78)	3.56 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Milan
47.2%

Draw
25.8%

Liverpool
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

25.4%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

25.2%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inter Milan's performance.

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liverpool might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liverpool could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.2%	8.4%	12.3%

Inter Milan - Liverpool Predictions

Users Predictions: 150 users predict this event. Inter will win (votes: 121 - 80.7%). Liverpool will win (votes: 17 - 11.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 74.4% – 87%. The data is statistically significant.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Inter (1.27) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.25 - Inter (1.74) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Inter (1.47) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Milan will win (53 of 59 users predict this - 89.83%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 66 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 59 - 89.4%). Liverpool (votes: 6 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 1.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommer Y. (G) 25. Akanji M. 15. Acerbi F. 95. Bastoni A. 11. Luis Henrique 23. Barella N. 20. Calhanoglu H. 22. Mkhitaryan H. 32. Dimarco F. 10. Martinez L. (C) 9. Thuram M.	1. Alisson (G) 2. Gomez J. 5. Konate I. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 26. Robertson A. 8. Szoboszlai D. 38. Gravenberch R. 10. Mac Allister A. 17. Jones C. 9. Isak A. 22. Ekitike H.
Substitutes
31. Bisseck Y. 14. Bonny A. 30. Carlos Augusto 43. Cocchi M. 6. de Vrij S. 17. Diouf A. 94. Esposito F. 16. Frattesi D. 13. Martinez J. (G) 8. Sucic P. 60. Taho A. (G) 7. Zielinski P.	12. Bradley C. 6. Kerkez M. 92. Lucky W. 25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 73. Ngumoha R. 42. Nyoni T. 7. Wirtz F. 28. Woodman F. (G)
Coaches
Chivu C.	Slot A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Calhanoglu H. ↓, Zielinski P. ↑,
13', Martinez L. 🟨,
31', Acerbi F. ↓, Bisseck Y. ↑,
39', Ekitike H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Mkhitaryan H. 🟨,
68', Isak A. ↓, Wirtz F. ↑,
68', Gomez J. ↓, Bradley C. ↑,
73', Jones C. 🟨,
82', Dimarco F. ↓, Carlos Augusto ↑,
82', Thuram M. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
82', Mkhitaryan H. ↓, Sucic P. ↑,
87', Bastoni A. 🟨,
88', 0 - 1, Szoboszlai D. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Inter might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Inter: Darmian M. (Calf Injury) Di Gennaro R. (Wrist Injury) Dumfries D. (Ankle Injury) Palacios T. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Chambers L. (Back Injury) Frimpong J. (Hamstring Injury) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Salah M. (Coach's decision) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury) Williams R. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Inter: Akanji M. (Illness)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Inter won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Inter won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Inter Milan - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 42.09%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
06.12.25	Inter Milan - Como	4:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.12.25	Inter Milan - Venezia	5:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
30.11.25	Pisa - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Inter Milan	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
23.11.25	Inter Milan - Milan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWWLL
- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
06.12.25	Leeds United - Liverpool	3:3 ✺
03.12.25	Liverpool - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	West Ham United - Liverpool	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Liverpool - PSV Eindhoven	1:4 ✺
English Premier League
22.11.25	Liverpool - Nottingham Forest	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
08.03.22	Liverpool - Inter Milan	0:1
16.02.22	Inter Milan - Liverpool	0:2

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