Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Elland Road (Leeds)

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	SCTV, Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	TNT Sports
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Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
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Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
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Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Sport 24


	Leeds United		Liverpool

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.73
	4.55	4.05	1.75
	4.9	4.1	1.74
	4.04	3.86	1.85	Watch
	4.33	3.75	1.75
	4.73	4.03	1.8	Watch
	4.5	4	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↑ (4.42)	3.97 ↑ (3.89)	1.76 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United
21.3%

Draw
24.2%

Liverpool
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

24.6%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

27%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Liverpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.9%	6.2%	70.8%

Leeds United - Liverpool Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Leeds will win (votes: 11 - 24.4%). Liverpool will win (votes: 32 - 71.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 57.9% – 84.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Leeds (3.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Liverpool (1.37) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liverpool will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Leeds (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Liverpool (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Perri (G) 6. Rodon J. 15. Bijol J. 5. Struijk P. 2. Bogle J. 18. Stach A. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 44. Gruev I. 3. Gudmundsson G. 9. Calvert-Lewin D. 19. Okafor N.	1. Alisson (G) 12. Bradley C. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 5. Konate I. 6. Kerkez M. 38. Gravenberch R. 17. Jones C. 8. Szoboszlai D. 7. Wirtz F. 18. Gakpo C. 22. Ekitike H.
Substitutes
11. Aaronson B. 23. Bornauw S. 25. Byram S. 26. Darlow K. (G) 29. Gnonto W. 20. Harrison J. 24. Justin J. 10. Piroe J. 22. Tanaka A.	14. Chiesa F. 3. Endo W. 2. Gomez J. 9. Isak A. 10. Mac Allister A. 25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 73. Ngumoha R. 26. Robertson A. 11. Salah M.
Coaches
Farke D.	Slot A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Bogle J. 🟨,
26', Gudmundsson G. 🟨,
45+3', Bradley C. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
48', 0 - 1, Ekitike H. ⚽,
50', 0 - 2, Ekitike H. ⚽, Bradley C. (A),
65', Okafor N. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
65', Bijol J. ↓, Aaronson B. ↑,
65', Gruev I. ↓, Tanaka A. ↑,
68', Bradley C. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
68', Wirtz F. ↓, Mac Allister A. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Calvert-Lewin D. (Penalty Awarded),
75', 2 - 2, Stach A. ⚽, Aaronson B. (A),
80', 2 - 3, Szoboszlai D. ⚽, Gravenberch R. (A),
81', van Dijk V. 🟨,
83', Gakpo C. ↓, Endo W. ↑,
84', Ekitike H. ↓, Isak A. ↑,
87', Ampadu E. ↓, Piroe J. ↑,
89', Struijk P. 🟨,
90+1', Gomez J. 🟨,
90+3', Bogle J. ↓, Bornauw S. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 3, Tanaka A. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Leeds may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Liverpool is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Leeds: James D. (Hamstring Injury) Longstaff S. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Chambers L. (Back Injury) Frimpong J. (Hamstring Injury) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Leeds: Calvert-Lewin D. (Calf Injury) Nmecha L. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Liverpool: Bradley C. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:23. (average 1:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Leeds won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.7:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English Premier League
03.12.25	Leeds United - Chelsea	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Manchester City - Leeds United	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	Leeds United - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Leeds United	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Leeds United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLLL
- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
03.12.25	Liverpool - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	West Ham United - Liverpool	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Liverpool - PSV Eindhoven	1:4 ✺
English Premier League
22.11.25	Liverpool - Nottingham Forest	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Manchester City - Liverpool	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
17.04.23	Leeds United - Liverpool	1:6
29.10.22	Liverpool - Leeds United	1:2
23.02.22	Liverpool - Leeds United	6:0
12.09.21	Leeds United - Liverpool	0:3
19.04.21	Leeds United - Liverpool	1:1
12.09.20	Liverpool - Leeds United	4:3
English League Cup
29.11.16	Liverpool - Leeds United	2:0

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