Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 29

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Pinheiro Borda (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz


	Internacional RS		Sport Recife

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	5	Watch
	1.68	3.7	4.95
	1.74	3.76	5.28
	1.55	3.97	6.25	Watch
	1.71	3.79	5.19	Watch
	1.54	3.9	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.54)	3.81 ↓ (3.99)	5.45 ↓ (6.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional RS
57.6%

Draw
25%

Sport Recife
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

23.6%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

23.3%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Internacional RS - Sport Recife Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Internacional (votes: 6 - 60%). Recife (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Internacional (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Recife (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Internacional (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Recife (votes: 3 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ivan (G) 4. Vitao 20. Clayton Sampaio 18. Juninho 15. Bruno Gomes 26. Bernabei A. 29. Thiago Maia 35. Aguirre B. 7. Carbonero J. 19. Borre R. (C) 28. Vitinho	1. Gabriel (G) 33. Matheus Alexandre 15. Rafael Thyere (C) 40. Ramon Menezes 36. Luan Candido 14. Rivera C. 58. Ze Lucas 10. Lucas Lima 11. Romarinho 17. Matheusinho 18. Derik Lacerda
Substitutes
30. Alisson 24. Anthoni (G) 23. Benitez A. 8. Bruno Henrique 17. Bruno Tabata 47. Gustavo Prado 25. Mercado G. 46. Pedro Kaua 48. Raykkonen 49. Ricardo Mathias 14. Rodriguez A. 16. Ronaldo	20. Atencio R. 22. Caique Franca (G) 30. Chrystian Barletta 16. Igor Carius 3. Kevyson 21. Lucas Kal 27. Oliveira S. 92. Pablo 28. Pedro Augusto 9. Ramirez I. 6. Silva J.
Coaches
Ramon Diaz	Daniel Paulista

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Borre R. ⚽, Vitinho (A),
26', Ramon Diaz 🟨,
44', Lucas Lima 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rivera C. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
46', Lucas Lima ↓, Oliveira S. ↑,
53', Rafael Thyere 🟨,
59', Vitinho ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
59', Aguirre B. ↓, Benitez A. ↑,
62', Carbonero J. 🟨,
65', Thiago Maia 🟨,
65', Thiago Maia ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
65', Bruno Gomes ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Bruno Henrique ⚽, Carbonero J. (A),
74', Romarinho ↓, Chrystian Barletta ↑,
81', Ze Lucas ↓, Pablo ↑,
81', Matheusinho ↓, Igor Carius ↑,
84', Borre R. ↓, Raykkonen ↑,
88', Ronaldo 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 2.

In recent matches, Internacional has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Recife is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recife may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Internacional is the team to beat.

There will not play in Internacional: Benitez A. (International duty) Borre R. (International duty) Juninho (Muscle Injury) Luis Otavio (Muscle Injury) Richard (Hip Injury) Rochet S. (Foot Injury) Romero O. (Yellow Cards) Ronaldo (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Recife: Aderlan (Yellow Cards) Denis (Knee Injury) Hereda (Health problems) Hyoran (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Recife: Ze Roberto (Knee Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Internacional won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A
15.10.25	Mirassol - Internacional RS	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Internacional RS - Botafogo RJ	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Internacional RS - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Juventude - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Internacional RS - Grêmio	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWTTL
- Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie A
15.10.25	Sport Recife - Ceará	1:1 ✺
08.10.25	Atlético Mineiro - Sport Recife	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Cruzeiro - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
01.10.25	Sport Recife - Fluminense	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Fortaleza - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
25.05.25	Sport Recife - Internacional RS	1:1
13.09.21	Sport Recife - Internacional RS	0:1
30.05.21	Internacional RS - Sport Recife	2:2
10.02.21	Internacional RS - Sport Recife	1:2
14.10.20	Sport Recife - Internacional RS	3:5
05.10.18	Sport Recife - Internacional RS	2:1
02.06.18	Internacional RS - Sport Recife	0:0

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