Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth)

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bournemouth		Tottenham Hotspur

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	3.1
	2.15	3.6	3.2
	2.25	3.6	3.15
	2.2	3.71	3.26	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.1
	2.3	3.61	3.14	Watch
	2.12	3.6	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.05)	3.59 ↓ (3.89)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
43.4%

Draw
26.6%

Tottenham Hotspur
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

24.4%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

25.1%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Tottenham Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.9%	42.6%	25.5%

Bournemouth - Tottenham Hotspur Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Bournemouth will win (votes: 14 - 30.4%). Tottenham will win (votes: 12 - 26.1%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 43.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.2% – 57.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Tottenham (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Bournemouth (1.59) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.5 - Tottenham (1.70) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Tottenham (1.70) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 9 - 36%). Tottenham (votes: 12 - 48%). Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petrovic D. (G) 20. Jimenez A. 23. Hill J. 5. Senesi M. 3. Truffert A. 8. Scott A. 4. Cook L. (C) 24. Semenyo A. 16. Tavernier M. 22. Kroupi E. J. 9. Evanilson	1. Vicario G. (G) 23. Porro P. 17. Romero C. (C) 37. van de Ven M. 24. Spence D. 15. Bergvall L. 6. Palhinha J. 30. Bentancur R. 39. Kolo Muani R. 11. Tel M. 7. Simons X.
Substitutes
21. Adli A. 7. Brooks D. 18. Diakite B. 17. Forster F. (G) 44. Milosavljevic V. 50. Rees-Dottin R. 15. Smith A. 6. Soler J. 26. Unal E.	4. Danso K. 33. Davies B. 3. Dragusin R. 14. Gray A. 31. Kinsky A. (G) 28. Odobert W. 9. Richarlison 44. Scarlett D. 68. Williams-Barnett L.
Coaches
Iraola A.	Frank T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Tel M. ⚽, Simons X. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Evanilson ⚽, Tavernier M. (A),
36', 2 - 1, Kroupi E. J. ⚽, Senesi M. (A),
43', Semenyo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Cook L. 🟨,
57', Bergvall L. ↓, Odobert W. ↑,
60', Porro P. 🟨,
61', Kolo Muani R. 🟨,
64', Evanilson ↓, Unal E. ↑,
64', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Brooks D. ↑,
67', Kolo Muani R. ↓, Richarlison ↑,
75', van de Ven M. 🟨,
77', Jimenez A. 🟨,
78', 2 - 2, Palhinha J. ⚽,
86', Bentancur R. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
87', Tavernier M. ↓, Diakite B. ↑,
87', Jimenez A. ↓, Adli A. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 2, Semenyo A. ⚽, Brooks D. (A),
90+10', Semenyo A. ↓, Milosavljevic V. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 2.

Recent form of Bournemouth has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tottenham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tottenham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bournemouth might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Bournemouth: Adams T. (Knee Injury) Akinmboni M. (Muscle Injury) Christie R. (Knee Injury) Dennis W. (Ankle Injury) Doak B. (Hamstring Injury) Kluivert J. (Knee Injury) Milosavljevic V. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Tottenham: Bissouma Y. (International duty) Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Maddison J. (Knee Injury) Sarr P. M. (International duty) Solanke D. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Tottenham: Kudus M. (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 15:37. (average 0.9:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bournemouth won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.8:1.8).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Tottenham: 0.76% Bournemouth: 0.37%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6:8	-2	3
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2:8	-6	2

Last Results with these Odds

Tottenham Hotspur - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 29.23%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
03.01.26	Bournemouth - Arsenal	2:3 ✺
30.12.25	Chelsea - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
27.12.25	Brentford - Bournemouth	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Bournemouth - Burnley	1:1 ✺
15.12.25	Manchester United - Bournemouth	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTLTT
- Tottenham Hotspur
English Premier League
04.01.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
01.01.26	Brentford - Tottenham Hotspur	0:0 ✺
28.12.25	Crystal Palace - Tottenham Hotspur	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Liverpool	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Nottingham Forest - Tottenham Hotspur	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
30.08.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Bournemouth	0:1
09.03.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Bournemouth	2:2
05.12.24	Bournemouth - Tottenham Hotspur	1:0
31.12.23	Tottenham Hotspur - Bournemouth	3:1
26.08.23	Bournemouth - Tottenham Hotspur	0:2
15.04.23	Tottenham Hotspur - Bournemouth	2:3
29.10.22	Bournemouth - Tottenham Hotspur	2:3

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