Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Portman Road (Ipswich) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nield T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	02:00	Paramount+
Belgium	16:00	Eleven Sports
Croatia	16:00	SportKlub
Denmark	16:00	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	17:00	Viaplay
Malaysia	23:00	Astro
Norway	16:00	Viaplay
Poland	16:00	Eleven Sports 4
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay


	Ipswich Town		Burnley

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.25
	3.1	3.55	2.3	Watch
	3.15	3.35	2.2
	3.25	3.31	2.36
	3	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.38	2.3	Watch
	3.05	3.35	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (3.42)	3.36 ↓ (3.44)	2.27 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
30.3%

Draw
28.1%

Burnley
41.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.3%

27.2%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

27%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	8.3%	50%

Ipswich Town - Burnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Burnley will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 1.

Recent matches Ipswich is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Burnley in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Burnley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Burnley will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ipswich won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English League One
24.01.23	Ipswich Town - Morecambe	4:0 ✺
21.01.23	Oxford United - Ipswich Town	2:1 ✺
14.01.23	Ipswich Town - Plymouth Argyle	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
07.01.23	Ipswich Town - Rotherham United	4:1 ✺
English League One
02.01.23	Lincoln City - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLTWT
- Burnley FC
English League Championship
20.01.23	Burnley - West Bromwich Albion	2:1 ✺
14.01.23	Burnley - Coventry City	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
07.01.23	Bournemouth - Burnley	2:4 ✺
English League Championship
02.01.23	Swansea City - Burnley	1:2 ✺
30.12.22	Stoke City - Burnley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
02.01.16	Burnley - Ipswich Town	0:0
18.08.15	Ipswich Town - Burnley	2:0
26.04.14	Burnley - Ipswich Town	1:0
19.10.13	Ipswich Town - Burnley	0:1
04.05.13	Burnley - Ipswich Town	2:0
10.11.12	Ipswich Town - Burnley	2:1
21.03.12	Ipswich Town - Burnley	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English Premier League
31.10.26	Hull City - Ipswich Town	✺
- Burnley FC
English League Championship
03.11.26	Queens Park Rangers - Burnley	✺
31.10.26	Burnley - Portsmouth	✺

Ipswich Town - Burnley