Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 17

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Turf Moor (Burnley)

Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Burnley		Coventry City

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.4
	2.18	3.27	3.47	Watch
	2.27	3.28	3.47
	2.23	3.25	3.4	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3.4
	2.23	3.3	3.33	Watch
	2.18	3.27	3.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.16)	3.26 ↓ (3.43)	3.41 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burnley
42.8%

Draw
29.2%

Coventry City
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

27.5%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28.2%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Coventry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Burnley - Coventry City Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Coventry will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trafford J. (G) 14. Roberts C. 6. Egan-Riley C. 5. Esteve M. 23. Lucas Pires 24. Cullen J. (C) 29. Laurent J. 11. Anthony J. 28. Mejbri H. 7. Sarmiento J. 9. Rodriguez J.	40. Collins B. (G) 22. Latibeaudiere J. 4. Thomas B. 2. Binks L. 27. van Ewijk M. 28. Eccles J. 14. Sheaf B. (C) 7. Sakamoto T. 3. Dasilva J. 29. Torp V. 37. Bassette N.
Substitutes
39. Dodgson O. 16. Egan J. 32. Hladky V. (G) 37. Hountondji A. 12. Humphreys B. 30. Koleosho L. 42. Massengo H. 15. Redmond N. 3. Sambo S.	8. Allen J. 54. Andrews K. 21. Bidwell J. 1. Dovin O. (G) 15. Kitching L. 10. Mason-Clark E. 5. Rudoni J. 9. Simms E. 23. Thomas-Asante B.
Coaches
Parker S.	Carr R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Bassette N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Sarmiento J. ⚽, Roberts C. (A),
63', Dasilva J. ↓, Rudoni J. ↑,
63', Torp V. ↓, Simms E. ↑,
63', Bassette N. ↓, Mason-Clark E. ↑,
68', Sarmiento J. ↓, Koleosho L. ↑,
79', Lucas Pires ↓, Humphreys B. ↑,
79', Rodriguez J. ↓, Hountondji A. ↑,
80', Mejbri H. ↓, Massengo H. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Egan-Riley C. ⚽,
85', Sheaf B. ↓, Thomas-Asante B. ↑,
85', Binks L. ↓, Bidwell J. ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Burnley will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Burnley: Beyer J. (Thigh Injury) Delcroix H. (Muscle Injury) Ekdal H. (Muscle Injury) Foster L. (Knee Injury) Manuel Hedilazio B. (Calf Injury) Ramsey A. (Knee Injury) Redmond N. (Knee Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Leg Injury) Worrall J. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Coventry: Allen J. (Leg Injury) Bidwell J. (Knee Injury) Borges Rodrigues R. (Leg Injury) Eccles J. (Yellow Cards) Wilson B. (Knee Injury) Wright H. (Knock)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Burnley won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 0.7:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Burnley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley FC
English League Championship
23.11.24	Bristol City - Burnley	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	Burnley - Swansea City	1:0 ✺
07.11.24	West Bromwich Albion - Burnley	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Millwall - Burnley	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Burnley - Queens Park Rangers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWTLT
- Coventry City
English League Championship
23.11.24	Coventry City - Sheffield United	2:2 ✺
09.11.24	Sunderland - Coventry City	2:2 ✺
06.11.24	Coventry City - Derby County	1:2 ✺
02.11.24	Middlesbrough - Coventry City	0:3 ✺
26.10.24	Coventry City - Luton Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
14.01.23	Burnley - Coventry City	1:0
08.10.22	Coventry City - Burnley	0:1
14.04.12	Burnley - Coventry City	N/A

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