Match Info

Premier League - Round 17

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport OTT 2
Albania	16:00	SuperSport 3
Argentina	12:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	19:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	02:00	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	17:00	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, FuboTV
Chile	12:00	Disney+
China	23:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	17:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech Republic	16:00	CANAL+ Sport 8, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	17:00	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	16:00	Canal+ Live 7
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports Start
Hong Kong	23:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3
Hungary	16:00	Match 4
Iceland	15:00	SÝN Sport 4
India	20:30	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 2
Indonesia	22:00	Vidio
Italy	16:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
Japan	00:00	U-NEXT
Kosovo	16:00	Arena Premium 4
Malaysia	23:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 4, Canal+ Sport 3, Sooka
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	09:00	FOX One
Mongolia	23:00	Premier Sports 3
Nepal	20:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	04:00	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 3
Nigeria	16:00	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport OTT 2
Norway	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 3
Peru	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	16:00	Canal+ Extra 5
Portugal	15:00	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	Voyo
Serbia	16:00	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	16:00	Voyo
Slovenia	16:00	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	17:00	SuperSport Action, SuperSport Football, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport OTT 2
South America	—	ESPN South
South Korea	00:00	Coupang Play
Spain	16:00	DAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Thailand	22:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
Uruguay	12:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
Venezuela	11:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	22:00	K+ Action, K+, TV 360


	Bournemouth		Burnley

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	5.75
	1.58	4.4	5.7
	1.53	4.7	6.38
	1.54	4.39	5.92	Watch
	1.5	4.2	6
	1.59	4.53	6.1	Watch
	1.54	4.25	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.5)	4.4 ↓ (4.53)	5.98 ↓ (6.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
62.1%

Draw
21.8%

Burnley
16.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.4%

21%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

20.3%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.8%	8.3%	20.8%

Bournemouth - Burnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Bournemouth will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Burnley will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bournemouth: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Burnley (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Burnley (1.76) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1.75 - Bournemouth (2.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Burnley (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petrovic D. (G) 20. Jimenez A. 18. Diakite B. 5. Senesi M. 3. Truffert A. 16. Tavernier M. 4. Cook L. (C) 7. Brooks D. 19. Kluivert J. 24. Semenyo A. 9. Evanilson	1. Dubravka M. (G) 2. Walker K. 18. Ekdal H. 4. Worrall J. 23. Lucas Pires 8. Ugochukwu L. 24. Cullen J. (C) 29. Laurent J. 7. Bruun Larsen J. 19. Flemming Z. 11. Anthony J.
Substitutes
21. Adli A. 10. Christie R. 40. Dennis W. (G) 23. Hill J. 22. Kroupi E. J. 8. Scott A. 15. Smith A. 6. Soler J. 26. Unal E.	35. Barnes A. 27. Broja A. 10. Edwards M. 16. Florentino 12. Humphreys B. 22. Sonne O. 17. Tchaouna L. 31. Tresor Ndayishimiye M. 13. Weiss M. (G)
Coaches
Iraola A.	Parker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Flemming Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', Evanilson ↓, Unal E. ↑,
64', Kluivert J. ↓, Kroupi E. J. ↑,
65', Flemming Z. ↓, Broja A. ↑,
66', Bruun Larsen J. ↓, Tchaouna L. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Semenyo A. ⚽,
74', Brooks D. 🟨,
74', Brooks D. ↓, Christie R. ↑,
77', Walker K. ↓, Sonne O. ↑,
77', Anthony J. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
82', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Tresor Ndayishimiye M. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Broja A. ⚽, Edwards M. (A),
90+2', Tavernier M. ↓, Scott A. ↑,
90+3', Jimenez A. ↓, Adli A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 3.

Bournemouth has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Burnley has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Bournemouth is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Bournemouth: Adams T. (Knee Injury) Akinmboni M. (Muscle Injury) Christie R. (Knee Injury) Doak B. (Hamstring Injury) Milosavljevic V. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Foster L. (International duty) Humphreys B. (Lacking Match Fitness) Mejbri H. (Suspended) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Tuanzebe A. (International duty)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bournemouth won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.3:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
15.12.25	Manchester United - Bournemouth	4:4 ✺
06.12.25	Bournemouth - Chelsea	0:0 ✺
02.12.25	Bournemouth - Everton	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Sunderland - Bournemouth	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Bournemouth - West Ham United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTLLT
- Burnley FC
English Premier League
13.12.25	Burnley - Fulham	2:3 ✺
06.12.25	Newcastle United - Burnley	2:1 ✺
03.12.25	Burnley - Crystal Palace	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Brentford - Burnley	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Burnley - Chelsea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
03.03.24	Burnley - Bournemouth	0:2
28.10.23	Bournemouth - Burnley	2:1
English FA Cup
07.01.23	Bournemouth - Burnley	2:4
09.02.21	Burnley - Bournemouth	0:2
English Premier League
22.02.20	Burnley - Bournemouth	3:0
21.12.19	Bournemouth - Burnley	0:1
06.04.19	Bournemouth - Burnley	1:3

Upcoming Matches