Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton)

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wolverhampton Wanderers		Crystal Palace

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.9	1.75
	4.45	3.8	1.82
	3.92	3.65	2.02
	3.87	3.70	1.91	Watch
	4.54	3.84	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (3.93)	3.78 ↑ (3.69)	1.86 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolverhampton Wanderers
22.7%

Draw
25.5%

Crystal Palace
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

25.9%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

26.3%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.3%	9.4%	62.3%

Wolverhampton Wanderers - Crystal Palace Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Wolverhampton will win (votes: 15 - 28.3%). Crystal Palace will win (votes: 33 - 62.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 49.3% – 75.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolverhampton (votes: 6 - 40%). Crystal Palace (votes: 9 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Johnstone S. (G) 38. Tchatchoua J. 12. Agbadou E. 37. Krejci L. 24. Toti (C) 6. Wolfe D. M. 5. Munetsi M. 7. Andre 8. Joao Gomes 9. Larsen J. S. 14. Arokodare T.	1. Henderson D. (G) 26. Richards C. 5. Lacroix M. 6. Guehi M. (C) 2. Munoz D. 20. Wharton A. 18. Kamada D. 3. Mitchell T. 7. Sarr I. 14. Mateta J. 10. Pino Y.
Substitutes
10. Arias J. 27. Bellegarde J. 3. Bueno H. 4. Bueno S. 26. Hoever K. 11. Hwang Hee-Chan 28. Lopez F. 15. Mosquera Y. 1. Sa J. (G)	44. Benitez W. (G) 23. Canvot J. 17. Clyne N. 55. Devenny J. 19. Hughes W. 8. Lerma J. 9. Nketiah E. 24. Sosa B. 12. Uche C.
Coaches
Edwards R.	Glasner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Guehi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Arokodare T. 🟨,
59', Pino Y. 🟨,
60', Mateta J. ↓, Nketiah E. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Munoz D. ⚽, Lacroix M. (A),
66', Munoz D. 🟨,
66', Arokodare T. ↓, Hwang Hee-Chan ↑,
66', Munetsi M. ↓, Bellegarde J. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Pino Y. ⚽, Wharton A. (A),
75', Krejci L. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
77', Joao Gomes 🟨,
81', Kamada D. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
81', Pino Y. ↓, Devenny J. ↑,
83', Richards C. ↓, Canvot J. ↑,
88', Wolfe D. M. ↓, Bueno H. ↑,
90+2', Wharton A. ↓, Hughes W. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 0.

Wolverhampton is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Crystal Palace is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Crystal Palace is the team to beat.

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L. (Knee Injury) Gomes R. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Cardines R. (Groin Injury) Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Kporha C. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Doherty M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Riad C. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Crystal Palace will win today's game, with odds of 1.94.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolverhampton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
08.11.25	Chelsea - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Fulham - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
29.10.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	3:4 ✺
English Premier League
26.10.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	Sunderland - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
09.11.25	Crystal Palace - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Crystal Palace - AZ Alkmaar	3:1 ✺
English Premier League
01.11.25	Crystal Palace - Brentford	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
29.10.25	Liverpool - Crystal Palace	0:3 ✺
English Premier League
26.10.25	Arsenal - Crystal Palace	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
20.05.25	Crystal Palace - Wolverhampton Wanderers	4:2
02.11.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Crystal Palace	2:2
Club Friendly
31.07.24	Crystal Palace - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:1
English Premier League
11.05.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Crystal Palace	1:3
03.09.23	Crystal Palace - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:2
25.04.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Crystal Palace	2:0
18.10.22	Crystal Palace - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1

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