Match Info

Date: 16 May 2022, Monday

Location: Estádio Novelli Júnior (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Pereira Sampiao S. (Bra)


	Ituano		Grêmio

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.9	2.25
	3.5	2.8	2.2
	3.4	2.85	2.25
	3.8	2.99	2.29
	3.3	3	2.25
	3.45	3.06	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.1)	2.93 ↑ (2.88)	2.25 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituano
26.9%

Draw
31.7%

Grêmio
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

32.2%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

33.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	60.7%	17.9%

Ituano - Grêmio Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Ituano will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). Grêmio will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 60.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42.6% – 78.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 6).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Grêmio will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
07.05.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ituano	2:1 ✺
29.04.22	Ituano - Bahia	1:0 ✺
26.04.22	Sport Recife - Ituano	1:0 ✺
23.04.22	Ituano - Vila Nova	3:1 ✺
16.04.22	Ituano - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLWT
- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie B
08.05.22	Cruzeiro - Grêmio	1:0 ✺
30.04.22	Grêmio - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
27.04.22	Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio	0:1 ✺
21.04.22	Grêmio - Guarani	3:1 ✺
15.04.22	Grêmio - Chapecoense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWL

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