Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Chorten Arena (Bialystok)

Referee: Sakhi D. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 16
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 17
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 15
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Usa	Paramount+
World	Disney+


	Jagiellonia Białystok		Petrocub-Hîncești

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.5	8.5
	1.37	4.75	7
	1.38	5	7.5	Watch
	1.39	5.05	7.81
	1.37	5.01	7.42	Watch
	1.39	5.13	8
	1.38	5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.4)	4.92 ↑ (4.5)	7.68 ↓ (7.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia Białystok
68.5%

Draw
19.2%

Petrocub-Hîncești
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

20.9%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

20.2%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Petrocub-Hîncești has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrocub-Hîncești than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88%	0%	12%

Jagiellonia Białystok - Petrocub Hîncești Predictions

Users Predictions: Jagiellonia Białystok will win (22 of 25 users predict this - 88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.26% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Abramowicz S. (G) 16. Sacek M. 3. Stojinovic D. 17. Dieguez A. 44. Moutinho J. 14. Kubicki J. 6. Romanczuk T. (C) 99. Hansen K. 11. Imaz J. 10. Pululu A. 21. Churlinov D.	1. Smalenea S. (G) 90. Jardan I. 4. Mudrac V. 20. Douanla D. M. 11. Platica S. 30. Jardan V. 39. Lungu T. 17. Nikhaev V. 22. Caruntu M. 9. Ambros V. (C) 8. Demian D.
Substitutes
82. Costa Silva T. 4. Haliti J. 22. Kovacik P. 29. Listkowski M. 8. Nene 39. Nguiamba A. 66. Piekutowski M. (G) 5. Polak C. 51. Rybak A. 1. Stryjek M. (G) 20. Villar Miki	55. Agyemang M. N. 66. Bors I. 32. Covali D. (G) 6. Diallo B. 31. Dodon V. (G) 23. Lupan M. 5. Narh G. 21. Potirniche M.
Coaches
Siemieniec A.	Martin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Lungu T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ambros V. ↓, Lupan M. ↑,
61', Nikhaev V. ↓, Diallo B. ↑,
61', Hansen K. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
61', Kubicki J. ↓, Nene ↑,
67', Jardan V. 🟨,
69', 1 - 0, Pululu A. ⚽,
72', 2 - 0, Pululu A. ⚽, Villar Miki (A),
78', Churlinov D. ↓, Listkowski M. ↑,
82', Jardan V. ↓, Agyemang M. N. ↑,
82', Jardan I. ↓, Narh G. ↑,
83', Nene 🟨,
87', Pululu A. ↓, Nguiamba A. ↑,
87', Villar Miki ↓, Kovacik P. ↑,

Preview

Jagiellonia in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Petrocub is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Jagiellonia have a series of guest games.

Recently Petrocub have a series of home games.

In this match Jagiellonia is indisputable favorite.

There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Wojdakowski D. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.10.24	Zagłębie Lubin - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:3 ✺
06.10.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	Copenhagen - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
29.09.24	Piast Gliwice - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:1 ✺
25.09.24	Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 WTWWW
- Petrocub-Hîncești
Moldovan Super Liga
19.10.24	Petrocub-Hîncești - Sheriff Tiraspol	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Florești - Petrocub-Hîncești	0:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	Petrocub-Hîncești - Paphos	1:4 ✺
Moldovan Super Liga
28.09.24	Petrocub-Hîncești - Milsami Orhei	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Petrocub-Hîncești - Zimbru Chişinău	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLWT

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