Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 15

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday


	Jagiellonia II Białystok		Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	3.2
	1.86	3.85	3.3
	1.93	3.9	3.18
	1.95	3.6	3.24
	1.86	3.85	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.78)	3.79 ↓ (4)	3.24 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia II Białystok
48%

Draw
24%

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

22.7%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

19.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia II Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Jagiellonia II Białystok - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Czernij K. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Mazurek B. ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, Retsos D. ⚽,
40', 3 - 1, Mazurek B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 4 - 1, Rybak A. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
27.10.24	Legia II - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Wigry Suwałki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Mławianka Mława	2:2 ✺
27.09.24	Wikielec - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWTTL
- Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
Polish Division 3 - Group I
26.10.24	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Victoria Sulejówek	4:3 ✺
20.10.24	Wisła Płock II - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Pelikan Łowicz - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Stomil Olsztyn	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLLT

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