The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jaguares de Córdoba 32.9%
Draw 32.2%
Deportivo Pasto 34.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
29.4%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.4%
28.8%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaguares de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaguares de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
25%
12.5%
Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportivo Pasto Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Jaguares de Córdoba will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Jaguares de Córdoba: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Mosquera F. (G) 25. Jimenez L. 14. Angulo Castro B. 29. Henao C. 6. Lovera J. 15. Maza J. 13. Hinestroza J. 23. Mosquera F. 19. Moreno Y. 10. Jopito 11. Renteria A. (C)
12. Banguera G. (G) 33. Garavito M. 2. Torijano F. 5. Gil N. 21. Velasco E. 15. Mancilla H. 32. Pisano M. 10. Chavez D. 7. Perlaza J. 19. Morelo W. (C) 11. Estupinan A.
Substitutes
21. Bustamante R. 17. Camargo J. 7. De La Rosa W. 27. Gracia F. 18. Lenis K. 26. Lopez D. 1. Martinez D. (G) 16. Mejia J. 22. Ordonez C.
6. Caicedo J. 29. Cordoba S. 16. Gil M. 23. Goez Y. 27. Goyes H. 1. Herrerin I. (G) 18. Micolta Piedahita J. 8. Serje Orozco E. C. 26. Valencia H.
Coaches
Bodhert H.
Rosero J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
24', Lovera J. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Estupinan A. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Renteria A. ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, Morelo W. ⚽, Velasco E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Angulo Castro B. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
46', Hinestroza J. ↓, Bustamante R. ↑,
49', Perlaza J. 🟨,
50', Pisano M. 🟨,
53', Chavez D. 🟨,
54', Gil N. 🟨,
58', 2 - 2, Renteria A. ⚽,
61', Mancilla H. ↓, Goez Y. ↑,
62', Chavez D. ↓, Serje Orozco E. C. ↑,
62', Pisano M. ↓, Micolta Piedahita J. ↑,
62', Lopez D. 🟨,
67', Moreno Y. ↓, Lenis K. ↑,
75', Morelo W. ↓, Cordoba S. ↑,
75', Perlaza J. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
75', Renteria A. ↓, Mejia J. ↑,
82', Garavito M. 🟨,
83', Jopito ↓, Camargo J. ↑,
84', Serje Orozco E. C. 🟨,
85', Bustamante R. 🟨,
90', 2 - 3, Serje Orozco E. C. ⚽, Gil M. (A),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaguares de Córdoba won 1.
Jaguares de Córdoba is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Deportivo Pasto is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Deportivo Pasto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jaguares de Córdoba won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Jaguares de Córdoba won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.2:0.7).
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Mosquera F. (G) 
Jopito 
Lenis K. 
Gil M. 
Herrerin I. (G) 
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