Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Cota (Cota)

Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Fortaleza CEIF		Deportivo Pasto

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.15	3	3.3
	2.18	3.05	3.55	Watch
	2.2	3.15	3.67
	2.16	3.13	3.56	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.5
	2.17	3.02	3.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.13)	3.05 ↓ (3.18)	3.53 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza CEIF
43%

Draw
30.6%

Deportivo Pasto
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

29.4%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

29.4%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Pasto Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Deportivo Pasto (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Pasto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Barragan M. (G) 4. Marulanda J. 18. Balanta J. 3. Ramirez D. 15. Cuero S. 14. Pico L. (C) 17. Balanta Carabali K. A. 10. Velasquez J. 33. Arroyo A. 26. Rivas Torres R. D. 9. Herrera J.	1. Herrerin I. (G) 33. Garavito M. 2. Torijano F. (C) 5. Gil N. 21. Velasco E. 23. Goez Y. 3. Jimenez M. S. 6. Caicedo J. 7. Perlaza J. 11. Estupinan A. 29. Cordoba S.
Substitutes
16. Cajares J. 6. Diaz Y. 7. Martinez J. 5. Medina Obando J. 22. Palacios S. 13. Pernia M. 19. Pulicastro F. 12. Santander C. (G) 31. Vivas S. 29. Wilke T.	12. Banguera G. (G) 10. Chavez D. 27. Goyes H. 15. Mancilla H. 19. Morelo W. 32. Pisano M. 8. Serje Orozco E. C. 22. Tolosa Y. 26. Valencia H.
Coaches
Oliveros S.	Risueno J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', Velasquez J. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Arroyo A. ⚽, Pico L. (A),
21', Jimenez M. S. 🟨,
23', Perlaza J. 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Garavito M. ⚽, Jimenez M. S. (A),
34', Ramirez D. ↓, Diaz Y. ↑,
42', Cordoba S. ↓, Morelo W. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Velasquez J. ↓, Wilke T. ↑,
57', Perlaza J. ↓, Chavez D. ↑,
66', Balanta J. 🟨,
79', Garavito M. ↓, Goyes H. ↑,
79', Goez Y. ↓, Pisano M. ↑,
81', Rivas Torres R. D. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
81', Herrera J. ↓, Palacios S. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Chavez D. ⚽, Pisano M. (A),
90+2', Jimenez M. S. 🟥,
90+5', Morelo W. 🟨,
90+5', Morelo W. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).

Fortaleza is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Deportivo Pasto is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Fortaleza has had a series of away games.

Fortaleza will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Fortaleza	13	1	8	4	14:19	-5	11
18	Dep. Pasto	12	2	3	7	9:18	-9	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A
19.03.26	Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Deportivo Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Once Caldas - Fortaleza CEIF	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWTL
- Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A
18.03.26	Deportivo Pasto - Boyacá Chicó	2:0 ✺
13.03.26	Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto	4:2 ✺
09.03.26	Deportivo Pasto - América de Cali	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Deportivo Pasto - Cúcuta Deportivo	3:2 ✺
20.02.26	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Pasto	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
24.10.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Pasto	2:0
04.05.25	Deportivo Pasto - Fortaleza CEIF	1:0
14.09.24	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Pasto	0:0
04.03.24	Deportivo Pasto - Fortaleza CEIF	1:0

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