The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Werder Bremen 60.9%
Draw 21.6%
Schalke 04 17.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.6%
22.3%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
20.7%
22.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Werder Bremen that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Schalke 04 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.2%
4.9%
3.9%
Werder Bremen - Schalke 04 Predictions
Users Predictions:
Werder Bremen will win
(186 of 204 users predict this - 91.18%). Confidence interval (95%): 87.29% – 95.07%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Werder has the most likely position - 12 (10.19%), has project points - 44, has currently - 18, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Schalke has the most likely position - 18 (45.68%), has project points - 26, has currently - 6, has a good chance of relegated (74%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality59, small importance29, match rating44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Werder won 3.
Recent matches Werder is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Schalke has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Schalke could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Werder is a favorite.
There will not play in Werder: Agu F.
(Knee Injury)
Mbom J. M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Rapp N.
(Injury)
There will not play in Schalke: Cisse I.
(Injury)
Greiml L.
(Knee Injury)
Kaminski M.
(Calf Injury)
Ouwejan T.
(Ankle Injury)
Zalazar R.
(Injury)
van den Berg S.
(Ankle Injury)
Last 23 head-to-head matches Werder won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 35-33.
Including matches at home between the teams Werder won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-20.
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