Match Info

Date: 3 December 2021, Friday


	Werder Bremen		Erzgebirge Aue

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	7	Watch
	1.43	4.8	7	Watch
	1.4	4.7	7.5
	1.41	4.9	6.4
	1.43	4.87	7.99
	1.4	4.4	7	Watch
	1.4	5.1	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.65)	4.79 ↑ (4.03)	7.16 ↑ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Werder Bremen
67%

Draw
19.8%

Erzgebirge Aue
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

23.4%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

15.7%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Werder Bremen's performance.

Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Erzgebirge Aue might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-28.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Werder Bremen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Erzgebirge Aue could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Werder Bremen - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Werder has the most likely position - 5 (10.88%), has project points - 53, has currently - 20, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of promoted (14%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Aue has the most likely position - 16 (18.8%), has project points - 34, has currently - 14, has a chance of relegated (38%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Werder is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aue is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Werder is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Werder won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Werder Bremen
German 2 Bundesliga
27.11.21	Holstein Kiel - Werder Bremen	2:1 ✺
20.11.21	Werder Bremen - Schalke 04	1:1 ✺
05.11.21	Nürnberg - Werder Bremen	1:2 ✺
30.10.21	Werder Bremen - St. Pauli	1:1 ✺
24.10.21	Sandhausen - Werder Bremen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWTT
- Erzgebirge Aue
German 2 Bundesliga
27.11.21	Erzgebirge Aue - Darmstadt	1:2 ✺
20.11.21	Hansa Rostock - Erzgebirge Aue	1:2 ✺
07.11.21	Erzgebirge Aue - Heidenheim	2:0 ✺
30.10.21	Hannover - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1 ✺
22.10.21	Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.01.16	Erzgebirge Aue - Werder Bremen	3:1

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