Match Info

Date: 8 September 2022, Thursday


	Jiangxi Lushan		Qingdao West Coast

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.5	3.8	1.51
	5.5	3.75	1.5
	5.6	3.8	1.5
	6.1	4.09	1.54
	6	3.6	1.5
	5.95	3.85	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.78 ↑ (2.39)	3.82 ↑ (3.15)	1.51 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiangxi Lushan
15.8%

Draw
23.9%

Qingdao West Coast
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

28.2%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

28%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jiangxi Lushan's form might have worsened.

Qingdao West Coast has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qingdao West Coast's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (+21.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jiangxi Lushan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao West Coast than the current prediction. (-26%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qingdao West Coast, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.1%	12.5%	60.4%

Jiangxi Lushan - Qingdao West Coast Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Jiangxi Lushan will win (votes: 13 - 27.1%). Qingdao West Coast will win (votes: 29 - 60.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Qingdao West Coast: 46.6% – 74.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Qingdao Youth Island is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Jia League
04.09.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Ningbo Professional	1:1 ✺
30.08.22	Heilongjiang Ice City - Jiangxi Lushan	2:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
22.08.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	4:3 ✺
Chinese Jia League
18.08.22	Liaoning Tieren - Jiangxi Lushan	2:0 ✺
13.08.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Jiangxi Lushan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTWLW
- Qingdao West Coast
Chinese Jia League
03.09.22	Qingdao West Coast - Heilongjiang Ice City	1:0 ✺
29.08.22	Kunshan - Qingdao West Coast	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
22.08.22	Nanjing City - Qingdao West Coast	1:0 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
18.08.22	Nanjing City - Qingdao West Coast	1:0 ✺
14.08.22	Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Sport University	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLW

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