Match Info

Catarinense - Round 3

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Joinville		Criciúma

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.9	3	1.98
	4.15	3.16	1.95	Watch
	3.6	2.9	2
	4.07	2.91	1.96
	4.25	2.85	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (3.02)	2.96 ↓ (3.15)	1.97 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joinville
22.8%

Draw
30.8%

Criciúma
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

29.5%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joinville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joinville's form might have worsened.

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Criciúma's recent form is better than expected.

Joinville - Criciúma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thiago (G) 3. Brendon 6. Gabriel Paris 4. Gutieri (C) 9. Iago Dias 5. Jhony Douglas 10. Juliano 11. Keke 7. Lucas Lopes 8. Rickson 2. Toty	1. Georgemy (G) 5. Cesar Martins 11. Diego Goncalves 7. Eduardo 8. Guilherme Lobo 10. Jhonata Robert 4. Luciano Castan 22. Marcelo Hermes 2. Marcinho 3. Rodrigo (C) 9. Waguininho
Substitutes
14. Alyson 22. Andrey 20. Erick Crispim 17. Juninho 25. Klock J. 21. Marquinhos Brazion 16. Natanael 76. Rodrigo Bazilio (G) 18. Vinicius R. 15. Vitao 23. Yalle 19. Yuri Souza	18. Bidu 17. Borasi B. 15. Eliel Costa 6. Hiago Alves 21. Joao Carlos 14. Nufour S. 13. Octavio Henrique 20. Sandry 12. Santos P. (G) 23. Thiaguinho 16. Willean Lepo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Eduardo 🟨,
55', Juliano 🟨,
64', Juliano ↓, Vinicius R. ↑,
64', Gabriel Paris ↓, Natanael ↑,
68', Marcinho ↓, Willean Lepo ↑,
68', Diego Goncalves ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
71', Joao Carlos 🟨,
73', Iago Dias ↓, Juninho ↑,
73', Juliano ↓, Vinicius R. ↑,
77', Eduardo ↓, Sandry ↑,
77', Natanael 🟨,
84', Lucas Lopes ↓, Yuri Souza ↑,
85', Sandry 🟨,
87', Waguininho ↓, Borasi B. ↑,
87', Jhonata Robert ↓, Hiago Alves ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Joinville won 2.

Criciúma could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Joinville won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Joinville won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 0.6:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Joinville - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 30.72%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joinville
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
10.01.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Joinville	1:0 ✺
07.01.26	Joinville - Figueirense	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
23.11.25	Figueirense - Joinville	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Joinville - Figueirense	1:4 ✺
09.11.25	Blumenau - Joinville	1:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLW
- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
11.01.26	Criciúma - Avaí	2:1 ✺
07.01.26	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Criciúma	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
23.11.25	Cuiabá - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Criciúma - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Criciúma - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
27.10.25	Criciúma - Joinville	2:3 penalties
21.10.25	Joinville - Criciúma	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
02.03.25	Criciúma - Joinville	0:1 penalties
29.01.25	Criciúma - Joinville	3:0
24.02.24	Joinville - Criciúma	0:0
12.02.23	Criciúma - Joinville	1:1
28.03.21	Joinville - Criciúma	1:0

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