Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 19

Date: 6 January 2023, Friday

Location: AFAS Trainingscomplex (Wijdewormer)

Referee: Eijgelsheim M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Jong AZ Alkmaar		Heracles Almelo

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.2	1.7	Watch
	4.33	3.9	1.65
	4.6	4.1	1.62
	4.2	4	1.66
	4.6	4.36	1.69
	4.6	3.9	1.6	Watch
	4.55	4.2	1.66	Watch
	4.2	4	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↑ (3.57)	4.08 ↑ (3.77)	1.66 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong AZ Alkmaar
21%

Draw
22.8%

Heracles Almelo
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

24.5%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heracles Almelo's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.2%	6.9%	75.9%

Jong AZ Alkmaar - Heracles Almelo Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 5 - 17.2%). Heracles will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heracles: 60.3% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).

Heracles in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Heracles is a favorite.

There are questionable in Heracles: Polley R. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.12.22	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong PSV	2:3 ✺
17.11.22	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax	1:1 ✺
11.11.22	FC Oss - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:1 ✺
07.11.22	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Roda	2:0 ✺
28.10.22	VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LTLWW
- Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.12.22	Heracles Almelo - Dordrecht	8:1 ✺
11.12.22	Roda - Heracles Almelo	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
04.12.22	Cambuur - Heracles Almelo	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
19.11.22	Heracles Almelo - FC Oss	3:0 ✺
11.11.22	Heracles Almelo - NAC Breda	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWTWW

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