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Current Win Probability
Jong AZ Alkmaar 42.8%
Draw 24%
Jong PSV 33.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.7%
21.2%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.5%
20.9%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong AZ Alkmaar's form might have worsened.
Jong PSV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jong PSV's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jong PSV, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
22.2%
22.2%
Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong PSV Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Jong PSV will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Jong AZ: 23.1% โ 88.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zeggen K. (G) 2. Inge K. 3. Menu M. 4. Andersen F. E. 5. Esajas J. 6. Twisk N. (C) 8. Budko B. 7. Toppenberg K. 10. Oerip J. 11. Bouziane W. 9. Kovacs B.
1. Schiks N. (G) 2. Bassey E. 3. Merien F. 4. Monamay M. 5. Kuhn W. (C) 7. Bahaty M. 6. Bawuah J. 8. van den Berg J. 11. Kluit F. 10. Koller J. 9. Jones A.
Substitutes
22. de Jongh I. 15. de Wit H. 21. Osazuwa S. 12. Oud J. 23. Schilder K. (G) 16. Schipper J. (G) 20. Smits A. 19. van den Ban Y. 17. van der Klaauw D. 18. van Driel B. 14. van Ouytsel K.
19. Bouhoudane S. 23. Ngom K. (G) 18. Sidibe S. 16. Smolenaars T. (G) 15. van de Riet R. 14. van der Plas S. 17. Verhulst G. 20. Verkooijen N.
Coaches
Peereboom F.
Schaars S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Jones A. ⚽, Bassey E. (A),
41', Toppenberg K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bawuah J. ↓, Sidibe S. ↑,
46', Kovacs B. ↓, van den Ban Y. ↑,
46', Toppenberg K. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
55', Bassey E. 🟨,
58', 0 - 2, Jones A. ⚽, Bahaty M. (A),
60', Bassey E. ↓, van de Riet R. ↑,
62', Esajas J. ↓, de Wit H. ↑,
62', Inge K. ↓, van Ouytsel K. ↑,
72', Bahaty M. ↓, Verkooijen N. ↑,
72', Koller J. ↓, Bouhoudane S. ↑,
79', Budko B. ↓, Osazuwa S. ↑,
85', Kuhn W. ↓, van der Plas S. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 2.
Jong AZ has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Jong PSV is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Jong AZ is the team to beat.
There will not play in Jong AZ: Kwakman D.
(Knee Injury)
Robbemond R.
(Red Card)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.5:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.9:1.6).
Netherlands
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Zeggen K. (G) 
Andersen F. E. 
Budko B. 
Kovacs B. 
Monamay M. 
Osazuwa S. 
Sidibe S. 
