Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 33

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Kooi Stadion (Leeuwarden)

Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)


	Cambuur		Jong AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	1.45	5	5.25
	1.47	4.75	5
	1.49	4.7	5.4	Watch
	1.49	5.06	5.54
	1.48	4.97	5.3	Watch
	1.5	4.5	5
	1.49	4.7	5.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 (1.48)	4.81 ↓ (4.88)	5.25 ↑ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambuur
62.9%

Draw
19.4%

Jong AZ Alkmaar
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

19.1%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

18%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Cambuur - Jong AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambuur (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Cambuur will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jansen T. (G) 16. Mulders R. 4. Baouf I. 6. Amofa J. 22. Galvez T. 8. Souren N. 7. Balk R. 10. Diemers M. (C) 19. Henstra I. 14. van der Sande J. 11. Sjostrand O.	1. Zeggen K. (G) 2. Zwart J. 3. Natali A. 4. Dekker M. 5. Andersen F. E. 6. Twisk N. (C) 8. Boogaard K. 7. Hartog J. 10. Robbemond R. 11. Oerip J. 9. van den Ban Y.
Substitutes
17. Apkakou E. 3. Berkhout J. 13. Binder N. 26. Ferrah I. 2. Jermoumi D. 24. Jonker T. 27. Kooistra W. 15. Kvam F. 47. Look D. 25. Marsman B. 21. Meijster J. (G) 9. Visser K.	17. Budko B. 18. de Wit H. 15. Esajas J. 12. Inge K. 19. Kovacs B. 14. Menu M. 22. Oud J. 23. Schilder K. (G) 16. Schipper J. (G) 20. Smits A. 21. van der Klaauw D.
Coaches
de Jong H.	Peereboom F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Hartog J. ⚽, Andersen F. E. (A),
11', Souren N. 🟨,
13', Boogaard K. 🟨,
31', Mulders R. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Henstra I. ⚽, Amofa J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Robbemond R. ↓, van der Klaauw D. ↑,
58', 1 - 2, Zwart J. ⚽, Natali A. (A),
62', Henstra I. ↓, Ferrah I. ↑,
62', Diemers M. ↓, Apkakou E. ↑,
68', Oerip J. ↓, de Wit H. ↑,
70', Galvez T. ↓, Marsman B. ↑,
71', Souren N. ↓, Binder N. ↑,
75', van den Ban Y. 🟨,
78', 2 - 2, Ferrah I. ⚽,
79', Mulders R. ↓, Kooistra W. ↑,
79', Boogaard K. ↓, Budko B. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Ferrah I. ⚽, Amofa J. (A),
85', Twisk N. ↓, Kovacs B. ↑,
86', Balk R. 🟥,
87', 3 - 3, van den Ban Y. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Baouf I. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 4, Kovacs B. ⚽, Hartog J. (A),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 19).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 2.

Cambuur has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jong AZ has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Cambuur is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Cambuur: Visser D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Jong AZ: Chavez Garcia M. (Injury) Owusu-Oduro R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Jong AZ: Kwakman D. (Injury)

We predict that Cambuur will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cambuur won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Jong AZ	10	4	1	5	22:18	4	13

Last Results with these Odds

Cambuur - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 63%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.03.26	Helmond Sport - Cambuur	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Cambuur - Roda	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Cambuur - Jong Utrecht	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Cambuur - Almere City	3:2 ✺
27.02.26	FC Oss - Cambuur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWWW
- Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.03.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - MVV Maastricht	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Waalwijk - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Emmen	2:3 ✺
27.02.26	Vitesse - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Den Bosch	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
25.08.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Cambuur	0:1
20.12.24	Cambuur - Jong AZ Alkmaar	0:2
01.11.24	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Cambuur	2:3
15.03.24	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Cambuur	2:0
15.12.23	Cambuur - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:2
23.04.21	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Cambuur	2:4
12.12.20	Cambuur - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:0

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