Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 33

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: De Herdgang (Eindhoven)

Referee: Boel N. (Ned)


	Jong PSV		Vitesse

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.8	2.25
	2.6	3.75	2.25
	2.82	3.95	2.18	Watch
	2.9	4.07	2.2
	2.84	4.11	2.14	Watch
	2.8	3.8	2.15
	2.8	3.88	2.18	Watch
	2.6	3.85	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.6)	3.9 ↑ (3.85)	2.21 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong PSV
33.9%

Draw
23.9%

Vitesse
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

24%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

23.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	33.3%	41.7%

Jong PSV - Vitesse Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Jong PSV will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Vitesse will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitesse: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 1 - 50%). Vitesse (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smolenaars T. (G) 2. Merien F. 3. van der Plas S. 4. Monamay M. 5. Kuhn W. (C) 8. van den Berg J. 6. Sidibe S. 7. Kluit F. 10. Verkooijen N. 11. Koller J. 9. Bouhoudane S.	16. van den Berg C. (G) 2. Bonnah S. 17. Zumberi V. 35. Achouitar O. 28. Buttner A. (C) 6. Schikora M. 21. Schwarz R. 13. Pinto J. 19. Tahaui A. 27. Zonneveld N. 20. Bannis N.
Substitutes
21. Bahaty M. 20. Beerens J. 18. Bouhamdi A. 19. Jones A. 14. Jonkers B. 23. Kuijsten S. (G) 16. Ngom K. (G) 15. van de Riet R. 17. Verhulst G.	42. Bosch T. 44. Bouhekan M. 31. Brull M. (G) 30. Driezen M. 7. Hoogewerf D. 39. Huetink F. 24. Markelo N. 8. Moustafa A. 43. Olde Keizer C. 34. Ouallil Y. 23. Siecker J. (G) 22. Thenu X.
Coaches
Schaars S.	Rehm R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Zonneveld N. ⚽, Tahaui A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 2, Pinto J. ⚽, Bannis N. (A),
60', van den Berg J. 🟨,
66', van den Berg J. ↓, Bahaty M. ↑,
69', Zonneveld N. ↓, Hoogewerf D. ↑,
72', Verkooijen N. ↓, Bouhamdi A. ↑,
73', Bouhoudane S. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
79', Tahaui A. ↓, Markelo N. ↑,
79', Buttner A. ↓, Olde Keizer C. ↑,
83', Koller J. ↓, Verhulst G. ↑,
83', Monamay M. ↓, van de Riet R. ↑,
85', Bannis N. ↓, Bouhekan M. ↑,
85', Pinto J. ↓, Thenu X. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 16).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Jong PSV: Olij N. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Vitesse: Steffen M. (Leg Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 3.3:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Jong PSV won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4.

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Vitesse: 2.39% Jong PSV: 0.59%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Vitesse	10	4	2	4	15:15	0	14
12	Jong PSV	10	3	4	3	15:17	-2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Jong PSV - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.58%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong PSV
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.03.26	Den Bosch - Jong PSV	1:0 ✺
13.03.26	Jong PSV - FC Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Roda - Jong PSV	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Jong PSV - Dordrecht	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Emmen - Jong PSV	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LLWTW
- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.03.26	Roda - Vitesse	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Vitesse - Almere City	1:3 ✺
08.03.26	De Graafschap - Vitesse	1:4 ✺
27.02.26	Vitesse - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Willem II - Vitesse	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
25.11.25	Vitesse - Jong PSV	3:1
20.12.24	Jong PSV - Vitesse	6:4
25.10.24	Vitesse - Jong PSV	1:3

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