Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 10

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Netherlands	20:00	ESPN 4


	NAC Breda		MVV Maastricht

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.00	11.00	Watch
	1.25	6.00	8.50
	1.28	5.30	7.50	Watch
	1.25	6.65	10.37
	1.34	5.4	7.4	Watch
	1.22	6.50	10.00
	1.24	5.93	10.90	Watch
	1.23	5.80	8.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.34)	5.95 ↑ (5.4)	9.28 ↑ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NAC Breda
74.3%

Draw
15.7%

MVV Maastricht
10%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.3%

17.2%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

16.3%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

NAC Breda - MVV Maastricht Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - under (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Verrips M. (G) 2. Lucassen B. 4. Greiml L. 22. Hillen R. 12. Van den Bergh J. 78. Van Hecke J. 6. Balard M. 14. Sowah K. 10. Nassoh M. (C) 28. Brym C. 11. Misehouy G.	1. Wentges H. (G) 25. Liesdek Y. 6. Dicke F. 22. Bouland S. 17. van der Wegen S. 7. Daneels L. 18. Sierra E. 16. Klaasen R. (C) 24. El Hamdaoui N. 9. Vinogradac T. 10. Dumont O.
Substitutes
17. Bouchouari M. 35. Brouwers M. 5. Candelaria J. 55. Ghalidi B. 19. Gladon P. 33. Ikpia E. 8. Jensen F. 23. Kortsmit R. (G) 31. Lamprou K. (G) 34. Nazih I. 26. Reulen P. 32. van Aarst R.	20. Amgar A. 21. Asante D. 31. Bourard Y. 14. Kuipers M. 19. Luijendijk M. 27. Matoug N. 13. Timmers S. (G) 12. van der Heijden S. (G) 11. Verheijen T. 29. Zimuangana O.
Coaches
Kruys R.	Jonker A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Brym C. ⚽, Misehouy G. (A),
30', Vinogradac T. ↓, Matoug N. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Van den Bergh J. 🟨,
53', Misehouy G. ↓, Ghalidi B. ↑,
60', Liesdek Y. ↓, Luijendijk M. ↑,
61', Klaasen R. 🟨,
63', Van den Bergh J. ↓, Brouwers M. ↑,
81', El Hamdaoui N. ↓, Verheijen T. ↑,
82', Klaasen R. ↓, Asante D. ↑,
85', Brym C. ↓, Reulen P. ↑,
85', Balard M. ↓, Jensen F. ↑,
89', Matoug N. 🟨,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th and 5th in the Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 4.

Breda has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Maastricht has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The betting markets point to Breda as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Confirmed absences for Maastricht: Tehubijuluw D. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Maastricht: Hofland M. (Arm Injury) Timber D. (Injury).

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Breda has recorded 11 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:16 (averaging 2.1:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Breda against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 15:6 goals (averaging 1.7:0.7 per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	NAC Breda	12	6	3	3	23:20	3	21
10	Maastricht	12	5	2	5	16:27	-11	17

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

NAC Breda: 15.65% Maastricht: 0.78%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NAC Breda
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.10.26	Vitesse - NAC Breda	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	NAC Breda - FC Eindhoven	4:2 ✺
20.09.26	De Graafschap - NAC Breda	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	NAC Breda - Jong Utrecht	2:3 ✺
04.09.26	Waalwijk - NAC Breda	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWWLL
- MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.10.26	FC Oss - MVV Maastricht	4:1 ✺
26.09.26	MVV Maastricht - Helmond Sport	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Waalwijk - MVV Maastricht	6:1 ✺
11.09.26	MVV Maastricht - Almere City	0:4 ✺
06.09.26	MVV Maastricht - Roda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.03.24	NAC Breda - MVV Maastricht	1:2
19.11.23	MVV Maastricht - NAC Breda	1:4
27.05.23	MVV Maastricht - NAC Breda	1:4
23.05.23	NAC Breda - MVV Maastricht	1:0
10.03.23	NAC Breda - MVV Maastricht	4:1
15.08.22	MVV Maastricht - NAC Breda	3:1
04.03.22	MVV Maastricht - NAC Breda	1:2

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