Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 10

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: Parkstad Limburg Stadion (Kerkrade)

Referee: Boel N. (Ned)


	Roda		Jong PSV

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.1	4.5	Watch
	1.65	4.00	4.10
	1.68	3.85	4.4	Watch
	1.69	4.33	4.43
	1.67	4.3	4.27	Watch
	1.64	4.2	4.3
	1.66	4.15	4.24	Watch
	1.66	4	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.59)	4.12 ↓ (4.24)	4.29 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roda
55.9%

Draw
22.5%

Jong PSV
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

21.6%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

20.3%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Jong PSV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Roda - Jong PSV Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Roda (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - over (3.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Roda JC (1.57) (votes: 90%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Roda will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Treichel J. (G) 3. Tol M. 33. Van den Buijs D. 15. Beerten L. 14. van den Berg X. 11. Dorenbosch D. 4. Nisbet J. 5. Jansen K. 8. Mensah J. 25. Marsman B. 9. van den Hurk A. (C)	1. Smolenaars T. (G) 2. Oldenstam L. 3. Bresser M. 4. Merien F. (C) 5. Monamay M. 6. Mulders B. 10. Holseter-Karlsen P. 8. Sidibe S. 7. Dumbili S. 9. Jones A. 11. Manuhutu R.
Substitutes
20. Bentoumi M. 19. Crabu N. 24. Deom J. 22. Khoums R. 32. Maoujoudi N. 6. Paulissen M. 17. Peixoto G. 10. Schenten F. 7. Seedorf C. 26. Sleegers J. 21. Stojcevic M. (G) 2. Verheij L.	17. Beerens J. 18. Ditmer S. 16. Kuijsten S. (G) 23. Moedt E. (G) 15. Penso K. 19. Sabajo G. 14. Stam D.
Coaches
Penders R.	Schaars S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Marsman B. ↓, Seedorf C. ↑,
46', van den Berg X. ↓, Paulissen M. ↑,
66', Jansen K. ↓, Khoums R. ↑,
66', Van den Buijs D. ↓, Sleegers J. ↑,
71', Dumbili S. ↓, Beerens J. ↑,
71', Oldenstam L. ↓, Penso K. ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Jones A. ⚽, Holseter-Karlsen P. (A),
80', Mensah J. ↓, Maoujoudi N. ↑,
82', Jones A. (Penalty Awarded),
84', 1 - 1, Paulissen M. ⚽,
89', Holseter-Karlsen P. ↓, Stam D. ↑,
89', Manuhutu R. ↓, Ditmer S. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 12th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 3.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Roda may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Roda carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Jong PSV: Kuhn W. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Roda: Khaldi Z. (Illness).

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Roda has recorded 7 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:31 (averaging 1.8:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Roda against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:12 goals (averaging 1.9:1.5 per game).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Roda: 3.87% Jong PSV: 0.59%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Roda	10	4	4	2	10:8	2	16
12	Jong PSV	10	3	4	3	15:17	-2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
04.10.26	VVV-Venlo - Roda	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Roda - Waalwijk	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Jong Ajax - Roda	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Roda - Vitesse	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	MVV Maastricht - Roda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWTWT
- Jong PSV
Dutch Eerste Divisie
19.09.26	Vitesse - Jong PSV	3:1 ✺
14.09.26	Jong PSV - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Helmond Sport - Jong PSV	3:1 ✺
07.09.26	Jong PSV - Den Bosch	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Jong PSV - Jong Ajax	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.03.26	Roda - Jong PSV	0:2
15.09.25	Jong PSV - Roda	0:1
Club Friendly
18.07.25	Jong PSV - Roda	1:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.03.25	Roda - Jong PSV	2:1
09.12.24	Jong PSV - Roda	2:3
01.04.24	Jong PSV - Roda	2:3
08.12.23	Roda - Jong PSV	2:1

Roda - Jong PSV: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide