The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Willem II 59.9%
Draw 21.3%
MVV Maastricht 18.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.9%
20.4%
16.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.8%
19.5%
16%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
MVV Maastricht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Willem II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Willem II - MVV Maastricht Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Willem II (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Didillon T. (G) 2. Ciranni A. 30. Behounek R. 4. Hoogma J. (C) 24. Tjoe a On N. 19. van Aalst U. 6. Besselink G. 7. Doodeman N. 20. El Allouchi M. 17. Bamba S. 9. Haen D.
1. Westerveld S. (G) 32. Tran L. M. 22. Breugelmans I. (C) 4. Coomans W. 26. van Kempen M. 8. Van Dessel S. 38. Klaasen R. 21. Asante D. 6. El Basri N. 10. Silva Timas I. 7. Camil Mmaee
Substitutes
47. Baartmans S. 8. Culum A. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 11. Kehrer E. 14. Mathijsen J. 3. Stam F. 41. van der Linden B. (G) 22. van Loon P. 18. Zarrouk A.
9. Braken S. 3. Dicke F. 27. Foubert L. 2. Francis S. 40. Geerinck R. (G) 31. Kleinen M. 19. Pawirodihardjo J. 39. Sy K. 25. Tehubijuluw D. 23. van der Heijden S. (G) 11. Verheijen T. 24. Zaian A.
Coaches
Stegeman J.
van den Berg P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Asante D. ⚽, Silva Timas I. (A),
41', Klaasen R. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Hoogma J. ⚽, Doodeman N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', El Allouchi M. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
52', 2 - 1, Haen D. ⚽,
61', El Basri N. ↓, Kleinen M. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Asante D. ⚽,
73', Bamba S. ↓, Kehrer E. ↑,
73', Behounek R. ↓, Stam F. ↑,
82', Silva Timas I. ↓, Pawirodihardjo J. ↑,
87', Kleinen M. 🟨,
88', Tjoe a On N. ↓, van Loon P. ↑,
88', Asante D. ↓, Verheijen T. ↑,
88', Klaasen R. ↓, Dicke F. ↑,
90', Baartmans S. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 2.
Willem II has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Maastricht is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Willem II is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
Mathieu D.
(Knee Injury)
van Berkel N.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J.
(Knock)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
Netherlands
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Didillon T. (G) 
Ciranni A. 
Behounek R. 
Hoogma J. (C) 
Tjoe a On N. 
Bamba S. 
El Basri N. 
Silva Timas I. 
Culum A. 
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