Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez (Juárez)

Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports
Usa	Estrella TV, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, NBC Universo, Peacock, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW


	Juárez		Tigres UANL

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.70	1.71
	4.00	3.60	1.82
	4.20	3.60	1.75
	4.61	3.69	1.85
	4.05	3.61	1.89	Watch
	4.55	3.60	1.82
	4.53	3.61	1.84	Watch
	4.20	3.65	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↑ (3.75)	3.63 ↑ (3.55)	1.81 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juárez
21.7%

Draw
26%

Tigres UANL
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

25.9%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

25.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Juárez - Tigres UANL Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Tigres will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jurado S. (C) 33. Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 3. Murillo J. 26. Pina D. 20. Aquino J. 13. Rodrigo Dourado 6. Monchu 5. Garcia D. 2. Sepulveda G. 11. Rodriguez J. 19. Estupinan O.	1. Guzman N. (G) 14. Garza J. 28. Joaquim 15. Franco A. 19. Lainez M. 8. Gorriaran F. (C) 5. Araujo C. 21. Monreal R. 11. Brunetta J. 30. Sanchez Guevara D. A. 17. Aguirre R.
Substitutes
24. Diaz B. (G) 17. Dupuy L. 7. Fulgencio R. 8. Guilherme Castilho 14. Lopez E. 9. Madson 4. Mayorga A. 23. Ortega H. 21. Ricardinho 183. Rodriguez L.	198. Galvan I. 9. Gomez E. 33. Guerrero R. 77. Herrera O. 32. Lorona V. 22. Martinez G. 26. Ordonez Delgado F. I. 25. Rodriguez F. (G) 34. Simeone 6. Vigon J.
Coaches
Lema G.	Vucetich M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Garcia D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Rodrigo Dourado ↓, Guilherme Castilho ↑,
60', Aquino J. ↓, Mayorga A. ↑,
62', Sanchez Guevara D. A. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
63', Monreal R. ↓, Herrera O. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Estupinan O. (Penalty Awarded),
76', Garcia D. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Estupinan O. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
83', Joaquim ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
83', Lainez M. ↓, Guerrero R. ↑,
89', Monchu ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
89', Estupinan O. ↓, Madson ↑,
90+4', Martinez G. 🟨,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 18th and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 2.

Juárez is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Tigres has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Tigres carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Juárez: Romero L. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Tigres: Angulo J. (Knee Injury) Flores M. (Knee Injury) Lainez D. (Red Card) Reyes F. (Achilles Tendon Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Juárez: Ayon E. (Injury) Romero B. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Tigres: Farfan M. (Muscle Injury) Lorona V. (Injury) Rodriguez O. (Knee Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Tigres in today's match, at odds of 1.82.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Juárez has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:21 (averaging 0.9:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Juárez against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 8:12 goals (averaging 1.1:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Tigres UANL	11	3	4	4	13:15	-2	13
18	Juarez	11	1	1	9	8:26	-18	4

Last Results with these Odds

Juárez - the odds 3.75 are the expected chance of winning is 24.56%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Tigres UANL - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.51%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Juárez
Mexican Liga MX
13.09.26	Santos Laguna - Juárez	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Juárez - Pachuca	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Toluca - Juárez	4:0 ✺
21.08.26	Juárez - Club América	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Monterrey - Juárez	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Tigres UANL
Mexican Liga MX
12.09.26	Monterrey - Tigres UANL	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Tigres UANL - Necaxa	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Santos Laguna - Tigres UANL	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Tigres UANL - Atlante	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Atlas - Tigres UANL	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
22.03.26	Juárez - Tigres UANL	2:1
19.07.25	Tigres UANL - Juárez	1:0
25.02.25	Tigres UANL - Juárez	0:1
22.09.24	Juárez - Tigres UANL	0:1
28.02.24	Tigres UANL - Juárez	1:0
08.07.23	Juárez - Tigres UANL	1:1
14.02.23	Tigres UANL - Juárez	0:0

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