Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez (Barranquilla)

Referee: Tello F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN 4


	Junior Barranquilla		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.4
	2.15	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.21	3.22	3.75
	2.18	3.22	3.69
	2.1	3.2	3.2
	2.17	3.12	3.62	Watch
	2.13	3.15	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.01)	3.19 ↓ (3.39)	3.51 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Junior Barranquilla
43.7%

Draw
29.5%

LDU Quito
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

27.6%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

29.2%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Junior Barranquilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Junior Barranquilla - LDU Quito Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). LDU Quito will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Mele S. (G) 21. Pacheco W. 2. Mena Posada H. H. 28. Pena J. 12. Fuentes G. 6. Moreno D. 24. Cantillo V. 99. Enamorado J. 8. Chara Y. 20. Caicedo D. 70. Bacca C. (C)	22. Dominguez A. (G) 14. Quinteros J. 4. Ade R. 6. Rodriguez F. 33. Quinonez L. 9. Alzugaray L. 18. Piovi L. (C) 15. Villamil G. 26. Jhojan Julio 19. Arce A. 11. Estrada M.
Substitutes
7. Berrio L. 88. Castrillon B. 10. Gonzalez L. 16. Hernandez V. 3. Herrera E. 27. Johan Bocanegra 30. Martinez J. (G) 14. Martinez Yepez H. E. 26. Mendoza Benitez D. A. 18. Olivera E. 17. Perez M. 23. Rodriguez S.	10. Alvarado A. 28. Espinoza J. 8. Estupinan L. 7. Jan Hurtado 3. Mina R. 12. Minda E. (G) 16. Parrales M. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J. 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 1. Valle G. (G) 24. Zanini A.
Coaches
Reyes A.	Alcacer J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Bacca C. (Pen),
21', Mena Posada H. H. 🟨,
21', Estrada M. 🟨,
29', Alzugaray L. ↓, Estupinan L. ↑,
45', 1 - 1, Arce A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Jhojan Julio 🟨,
63', Chara Y. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
63', Caicedo D. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
80', Gonzalez L. (Pen),
81', Bacca C. 🟨,
83', Estrada M. ↓, Ramirez Leon B. J. ↑,
83', Enamorado J. ↓, Hernandez V. ↑,
83', Bacca C. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
90', Arce A. 🟨,
90+2', Arce A. ↓, Jan Hurtado ↑,
90+6', Pena J. 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Junior could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Junior will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A
20.04.24	Junior Barranquilla - Once Caldas	1:0 ✺
17.04.24	Millonarios - Junior Barranquilla	3:2 ✺
13.04.24	Junior Barranquilla - Envigado	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.04.24	Junior Barranquilla - Universitario de Deportes	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
06.04.24	América de Cali - Junior Barranquilla	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLTTL
- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.04.24	Orense - LDU Quito	1:0 ✺
15.04.24	LDU Quito - Delfín	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.04.24	LDU Quito - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
06.04.24	El Nacional - LDU Quito	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.04.24	Universitario de Deportes - LDU Quito	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWL

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