Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Jaime Morón León (Cartagena)

Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Ecuador	ESPN
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2, ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
Spain	LaLiga+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Junior Barranquilla		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.8	Watch
	3.7	3.3	1.98
	4.45	3.45	1.78	Watch
	4.83	3.54	1.81
	2.22	3.27	3.25	Watch
	4.5	3.25	1.8
	4.71	3.48	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (3.65)	3.4 ↑ (3.26)	2.03 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Junior Barranquilla
23.4%

Draw
28.6%

Palmeiras
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

28.6%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

27.8%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

Junior Barranquilla - Palmeiras Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Junior (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Palmeiras will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Junior (votes: 1 - 50%). Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silveira M. (G) 98. Pena J. 5. Rivera D. 33. Monzon L. 34. Guerrero J. 8. Chara Y. (C) 14. Rios J. 18. Perez K. 26. Suarez Y. 22. Rivas J. 29. Gutierrez T.	1. Carlos Miguel (G) 4. Giay A. 15. Gomez G. (C) 26. Murilo 56. Arthur Gabriel 8. Andreas Pereira 17. Marlon Freitas 40. Allan Elias 18. Mauricio 11. Arias J. 42. Lopez J.
Substitutes
80. Angel Bernal F. S. 70. Bacca C. 21. Canchimbo J. 88. Castrillon B. 28. Celis G. 3. Herrera E. 30. Martinez J. (G) 10. Muriel L. 9. Paiva G. 24. Pestana J. 7. Rivera H. 20. Sarmiento J.	43. Benedetti 3. Bruno Fuchs 7. Felipe Anderson 12. Khellven 48. Larson 30. Lucas Evangelista 31. Luighi 50. Luis Pacheco 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 32. Martinez E. 37. Riquelme Fillipi 19. Sosa R.
Coaches
Arias A.	Abel Ferreira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Gutierrez T. (Penalty Awarded),
14', Perez K. 🟨,
42', Gutierrez T. 🟨,
44', Arthur Gabriel 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Arthur Gabriel ↓, Khellven ↑,
46', Mauricio ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Sosa R. ⚽, Lopez J. (A),
57', Perez K. ↓, Celis G. ↑,
58', Gutierrez T. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
70', Andreas Pereira ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
70', Allan Elias ↓, Felipe Anderson ↑,
71', Chara Y. ↓, Muriel L. ↑,
71', Rivas J. ↓, Canchimbo J. ↑,
83', Lopez J. ↓, Luighi ↑,
83', Paiva G. 🟨,
87', Guerrero J. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,

Preview

In recent matches, Junior has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Palmeiras is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Junior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Palmeiras is the team to beat.

There will not play in Palmeiras: Figueiredo (Injury) Jefte (Inactive) Paulinho (Leg Injury) Piquerez J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Palmeiras: Vitor Roque (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Junior won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:11. (average 0.3:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Palmeiras: 17.4%

Last Results with these Odds

Palmeiras - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.94%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A
03.04.26	Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Cali	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Inter Bogotá - Junior Barranquilla	0:1 ✺
24.03.26	Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLW
- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
05.04.26	Bahia - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
02.04.26	Palmeiras - Grêmio	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	São Paulo - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
18.03.26	Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Palmeiras - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
10.04.19	Palmeiras - Junior Barranquilla	3:0
06.03.19	Junior Barranquilla - Palmeiras	0:2
16.05.18	Palmeiras - Junior Barranquilla	3:1
01.03.18	Junior Barranquilla - Palmeiras	0:3

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