The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cerro Porteño 42.2%
Draw 31.3%
Junior Barranquilla 26.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46%
28.1%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
27.4%
25.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Junior Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
43.7%
31.2%
25%
Cerro Porteño - Junior Barranquilla Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Junior will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cerro Porteño: 21.5% – 71.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Martin A. (G) 23. Velazquez G. (C) 22. Perez M. 6. Luciatti A. 13. Benitez A. G. 24. Paez E. 26. Piris R. 5. Morel J. 35. Chaparro M. 27. Torres J. 19. Vegetti P.
1. Silveira M. (G) 98. Pena J. 5. Rivera D. 33. Monzon L. 34. Guerrero J. 18. Perez K. 22. Rivas J. 26. Suarez Y. 14. Rios J. 8. Chara Y. (C) 29. Gutierrez T.
Substitutes
32. Bobadilla C. 25. Fernandez R. (G) 28. Franco C. 33. Gomez R. 40. Klimowicz M. 18. Melgarejo R. 36. Noguera F. 8. Paredes C. 16. Peralta F. 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 42. Sanchez V. 20. Viera W.
80. Angel Bernal F. S. 70. Bacca C. 21. Canchimbo J. 88. Castrillon B. 28. Celis G. 3. Herrera E. 30. Martinez J. (G) 10. Muriel L. 9. Paiva G. 24. Pestana J. 7. Rivera H. 20. Sarmiento J.
Coaches
Holan A.
Arias A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Paez E. 🟨,
37', Rios J. 🟨,
38', Benitez A. G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rios J. ↓, Celis G. ↑,
46', Piris R. ↓, Bobadilla C. ↑,
46', Benitez A. G. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Torres J. ⚽, Perez M. (A),
59', Rivas J. ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
59', Gutierrez T. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
59', Paez E. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
71', Chara Y. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
76', Rivera D. ↓, Muriel L. ↑,
83', Torres J. ↓, Viera W. ↑,
86', Vegetti P. 🟨,
90+3', Morel J. ↓, Peralta F. ↑,
90+5', Peralta F. 🟨,
Preview
Now, both teams are in good form.
Junior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Cerro Porteño is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Cerro Porteño: Dominguez C.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Junior: Barrios C.
(Inactive)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.