Match Info

Serie B - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Euganeo (Padova)

Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Switzerland	Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
World	Onefootball


	Padova		Juve Stabia

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.05	2.82	Watch
	2.58	2.92	2.88	Watch
	2.65	3.1	3
	2.62	3.04	2.67	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.62)	3 ↓ (3.04)	2.85 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
35.9%

Draw
31.2%

Juve Stabia
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

30.3%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

29.9%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Juve Stabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	61.5%	23.1%

Padova - Juve Stabia Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Juve Stabia will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Fortin M. (G) 72. Faedo C. 32. Sgarbi F. 5. Perrotta M. 17. Capelli A. 8. Fusi P. 6. Crisetig L. (C) 7. Varas K. 18. Ghiglione P. 20. Bortolussi M. 92. Buonaiuto C.	1. Confente A. (G) 4. Ruggero M. 33. Giorgini A. 6. Bellich M. 24. Carissoni L. 98. Mosti N. 55. Leone G. 29. Correia O. 11. Piscopo K. 7. Burnete R. 27. Candellone L. (C)
Substitutes
21. Bacci J. 3. Barreca A. 4. Belli F. 13. Boi A. 23. Di Maggio L. 30. Favale G. 44. Harder J. 15. Lasagna K. 1. Mouquet L. (G) 11. Seghetti A. 22. Sorrentino A. (G) 55. Villa L.	15. Baldi M. 23. Boer P. (G) 77. Cacciamani A. 21. De Pieri G. 37. Maistro F. 76. Mannini M. 3. Reale F. 16. Signorini A. (G) 19. Stabile G. 45. Zuccon F.
Coaches
Andreoletti M.	Abate I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Piscopo K. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Bortolussi M. (Pen),
23', Crisetig L. 🟨,
25', Piscopo K. ↓, Cacciamani A. ↑,
45+1', 1 - 1, Cacciamani A. ⚽, Mosti N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Crisetig L. ↓, Harder J. ↑,
46', Ghiglione P. ↓, Barreca A. ↑,
46', Varas K. ↓, Di Maggio L. ↑,
56', Burnete R. 🟨,
59', Leone G. ↓, Zuccon F. ↑,
59', Burnete R. ↓, De Pieri G. ↑,
59', Bellich M. ↓, Stabile G. ↑,
64', Buonaiuto C. ↓, Lasagna K. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, De Pieri G. ⚽,
73', 2 - 2, Bortolussi M. ⚽, Fusi P. (A),
83', Faedo C. 🟨,
84', Fusi P. ↓, Favale G. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Juve Stabia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Padova: Baselli D. (Muscle Injury) Papu Gomez (Suspended) Pastina C. (Knock) Silva J. (Health problems)

There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T. (Knee Injury) Ciammaglichella A. (Overload) Gabrielloni A. (Injury) Morachioli G. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Juve Stabia: Mosti N. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Padova won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Padova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Juve Stabia - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.51%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie B
19.10.25	Catanzaro - Padova	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Bari - Padova	2:1 ✺
30.09.25	Padova - Avellino	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Monza - Padova	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Padova - Virtus Entella	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WLTWW
- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
18.10.25	Juve Stabia - Avellino	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Carrarese - Juve Stabia	3:0 ✺
30.09.25	Juve Stabia - Mantova	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Catanzaro - Juve Stabia	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Spezia - Juve Stabia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
25.03.14	Juve Stabia - Padova	1:1
19.10.13	Padova - Juve Stabia	2:1
26.02.13	Padova - Juve Stabia	1:0
29.09.12	Juve Stabia - Padova	1:0
13.04.12	Juve Stabia - Padova	2:0

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