Match Info

JAPAN: J3 LEAGUE - ROUND 32

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday


	Kagoshima United		Grulla Morioka

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.25	3.4
	1.95	3.3	3.5	Watch
	2	3.47	3.96
	1.91	3.47	3.96
	1.85	3.3	3.4
	1.86	3.44	3.65	Watch
	1.95	3.35	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.81)	3.37 ↑ (3.25)	3.62 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kagoshima United
47.6%

Draw
27.2%

Grulla Morioka
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

27.4%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

26.4%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kagoshima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Grulla Morioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Izumori R. (G) 17. Hoshi K. 28. Tone I. 23. Okamoto S. 14. Nodake H. 27. Yamaguchi T. 30. Kimura Y. 11. Goryo J. 25. Hanato J. 36. Yonezawa R. 24. Fujimoto N.	1. Tanno K. (G) 5. Tashiro M. 6. Kai K. 44. Saito R. 18. Miyaichi T. 17. Ri Yong-jik 27. Fujimura R. 48. Shimbo K. 36. Matsubara K. 7. Wada M. 80. Otabor K.
Substitutes
7. Chibu K. 20. Endo M. 4. Hirose K. 13. Matsuyama K. (G) 34. Suzuki S. 46. Take S. 19. Yamamoto S.	13. Ishida R. 15. Kagami T. 14. Minami T. 46. Nakamura A. 22. Sato M. 31. Tajiri K. (G) 8. Yuge T.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League and 11).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Grulla Morioka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kagoshima United will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kagoshima United won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Kagoshima United won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kagoshima United
Japan J3 League
15.10.23	Vanraure Hachinohe - Kagoshima United	2:1 ✺
05.10.23	Osaka - Kagoshima United	2:3 ✺
01.10.23	Kagoshima United - YSCC	3:0 ✺
23.09.23	Ehime - Kagoshima United	0:2 ✺
16.09.23	Kagoshima United - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWT
- Grulla Morioka
Japan J3 League
14.10.23	Grulla Morioka - Ryūkyū	2:2 ✺
08.10.23	Matsumoto Yamaga - Grulla Morioka	1:4 ✺
01.10.23	Azul Claro Numazu - Grulla Morioka	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Grulla Morioka - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:0 ✺
18.09.23	YSCC - Grulla Morioka	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
29.04.23	Grulla Morioka - Kagoshima United	0:2
11.09.21	Kagoshima United - Grulla Morioka	1:2
02.05.21	Grulla Morioka - Kagoshima United	2:1
28.11.20	Grulla Morioka - Kagoshima United	0:1
03.09.20	Kagoshima United - Grulla Morioka	1:0

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